Monkey’s Market Minute: January 13th, 2026

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- It looks like the Regime is having second thoughts about attacking Iran because Israel would likely be destroyed if they do. However, Trump already said he would, and boomers never quit. JD Vance is being offered as the voice of reason who is trying to talk Trump down from the ledge, but this is all kayfabe bullshit. Trump was lied to by Israeli intelligence, who assured him that the riots would overthrow the Iranian government, and he wrote checks with his mouth that he couldn’t cash. The same thing happened in July when Israel attacked Iran, and then begged for help from Trump when Iran started bombing them and overwhelming their air defenses. I’m relieved to see that there is some hesitation by Trump, because attacking Iran... AGAIN... It's going to go much worse than it did in July. Maybe JD Vance plays the role of the “party pooper,” and Trump tries to walk back his tough talk, or maybe this is all another feint to (hopefully) lure Iran into another round of negotiations so Israel can launch another sneak attack on them. I don’t know, we’ve left sanity and reason a long time ago. Trump is going to do what Israel says, and Israel wants the US to do the impossible, so it’s a coin toss whether or not the war with Iran happens. Trump really should not attack Iran, and take the fucking L, but I’m 90% sure he’s going to attack and have the “L” shoved up his ass instead.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-already-receiving-briefings-military-strike-options-iran-protest-deaths-soar

- Trump is going to show Iran, though, by raising tariffs on countries doing business with Iran.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/trump-imposes-25-tariff-any-country-doing-business-iran-effective-immediately

- In Venezuela, Americans are being warned to leave immediately. The security situation is “fluid” as per the State Department. Armed militias are setting up roadblocks and searching vehicles for evidence of US citizenship or support for the United States, and presumably killing those they find. Also, the oil companies are rejecting Trump’s call to invest in rebuilding Venezuela’s oil industry. The lesson here is that the US military is really good at destroying things, especiallywhen you bribe your opponent to let you win, but that’s about it. The US military can’t change “hearts and minds” and build a country. I learned that firsthand in Iraq 20-ish years ago.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-warns-americans-leave-venezuela-immediately , https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/big-oil-offers-reality-check-trumps-venezuela-dream-2026-01-12/

- So we’re still waiting for confirmation regarding Iran. The riots failed, and there are going to be consequences for Trump trusting Israel’s intelligence and casting the die half-cocked, but maybe JD Vance can be the “bad guy” and Trump backs down. That is what the Regime should do. They never should have done any of this shit, but Trump is being given horrible intel from Israel that is likely hoping to drag the US into fighting its wars for it by convincing Trump it’ll be easy. It’s not like Trump has any military experience. He’s a real-estate guy, not a geopolitical expert. This isn’t over, but it’s up to Trump whether he takes the L or doubles down. He’ll probably double down because he’s a fucking idiot, but that’s fine. I’m not getting any younger. Let’s light this candle.

- Let’s turn now to the markets and look at the winners and losers today. The winners today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. The VIX
o 3. Gold
o 4. Brent Crude Oil
o 5. Bitcoin
o 6. Broad Commodities
o 7. Consumer Staples

- The losers today were:
o 1. Financials
o 2. Agriculture Commodities
o 3. Energy
o 4. Bonds
o 5. The US Dollar
o 6. Healthcare
o 7. Communications Technology

- The inflation trade is back, which means the markets are betting on more money printing and lower interest rates.

- The only news affecting markets is the criminal probe into the FED to force them to cut rates for the government to endlessly print money regardless of the inflation it causes (and it will be a lot). This is kayfabe bullshit. The FED is going to cut rates because they’re part of the government, but the FED wants to pretend that they’re not going to because they don’t want the markets pricing in the lower rates ahead of schedule, because then the inflation will occur before the government itself can benefit from it, hence the kayfabe. It’s fucking stupid.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/dollar-hit-and-curve-steepens-doj-fed-probe-newsquawk-us-market-wrap , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-dollar-drop-gold-jumps-fed-probe-iran-unrest-darken-mood

- Why is Bitcoin up? The normies are jumping back in because things have been quiet for Bitcoin lately. Normies are skittish, but once things are quiet for a few days, they jump back into whatever nonsense they were in before. I’m sure they’re using leverage again too, and I’ll probably see articles in a day or two about howthe volatility that happened last month was a fluke and crypto is back again, and people will believe them because “number go up”. You can’t help these people, except to encourage them to get boosted or seek Canadian healthcare.
source: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-shrugs-off-powell-probe-033925852.html

- We all know where things are heading. All this kayfabe nonsense is just to fool the normies into making it seem like it wasn’t planned.

- The bottom line is that Trump fucked up. Once again, when someone does something I didn’t expect, it’s because they’re stupid, and they should have done what I expected them to do. We’ll see if Trump doubles down on Iran and gets Israel destroyed. That might be the best possible scenario, actually. We’re also waiting to see what Russia and China do. It doesn’t look like a horse trade happened. Trump actually thought Russia and China would cuck for literally no reason. What a dumbass. The problem is that the Jews advising Trump are blinded by their own agenda and are not looking at the facts clearly. You see this with Halsey. Halsey is smart, but he’s blind because he's rooting for his “team”. This is why I’m consistently right. I don’t have a side. I just want to take women’s rights away. Even Academic Agent, who is smarter than me, and came up with the concept of the Regime and providing “value-free analysis,” was fooled by the Iranian propaganda because he’s ethnically Iranian, and was rooting for his “team”. It is what it is. I guess being a tribeless loner has its advantages sometimes.

Monkey’s Market Minute: January 12th, 2026

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- First off, I was right. The Iranian “protests” failed, as I said. Thunder Warrior was fooled by the propaganda on the show, but hopefully you guys were able to see through it. The secret is that what the media was saying made no sense.

o 1. The reason for the protests made no sense: 40% inflation isn’t bad, but completely understandable given the circumstances, and a drought that the government has nothing to do with.

o 2. The timing of the protests was obviously coordinated by Israel. Iran was at war with Israel 6 months ago. Why would the people of Iran be gung-ho to do the bidding of Israel after their constant attacks on their neighbors, including themselves?

o 3. There have been many astroturfed protests in Iran over the last few years, and the Iranian government has become effective at dealing with them. After the last Israeli war, Iran deported the problematic populations who were working with Israel, so how would the protests be bigger and more likely to topple the government at this time?

- Were you fooled by the propaganda? It’s okay if you were, but hopefully you learned something.
source: https://rumble.com/v746vzm-west-delusional-about-iran-protests-us-israel-desperate-for-unrest-ehsan-sa.html

- Trump is now preparing to attack Iran. But Iran is fully prepared, so Trump is implying that he’s looking into other options, like a cyberattack and sanctions, but the die is cast. They’re going to attack Iran because they’re boomers and they won’t admit defeat until they die.
source: https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2026/01/watch-trump-says-iran-starting-cross-his-line/

- In a strange, but predictable, development. AOC and the democrats are suddenly supporting Israel. Isn’t that strange? The genocide in Gaza is forgotten, and now everything is closing ranks around their support for Israel. That should tell you how scared the Jews are. You cast the dice, don’t be a bitch just because you lost.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/theyre-getting-front-something-democrats-make-abrupt-pivot-screaming-free-palestine

- In market news, apparently, gold prices “no longer matter” according to ZeroHedge.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/sponsored-post/why-gold-prices-no-longer-matter-2026

- Something else that’s happening that I wasn’t expecting and came out of nowhere. The FED is apparently not going to cut rates, and now Trump is sending the DOJ to investigate Jerome Powell for crimes. I get that the government has to maintain the “will they or won’t they” game to keep investors guessing, but launching a criminal investigation against Jerome Powell for not obeying you seems overkill. Trump is acting like a dictator, but he can’t even deport anyone or do anything his voters asked himto do. This is the most retarded kayfabe bullshit I’ve ever seen, and that’s saying something given the last few years.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-subpoenaed-doj-launches-criminal-probe-jerome-powell-who-vows-stand-firm

- For what it’s worth, Bitcoin is up today. Does this mean bull markets in the AI bubble next week? I don’t even know anymore. All the markets are detached from any kind of economic reality and move at the whim and for the entertainment of the billionaire class. My advice is to get your emergency supplies squared away. Food, water, fuel, ammo, medicine. Try to look for silver coins that are older than 1965 (dimes, quarters, half dollars, and silver dollars) and pennies that are older than 1982. Current year nickels are 75% copper and 25% nickel. Nickel is worth more than copper, so if you can’t get a hold of any old silver coins or 1980s pennies for the copper, you could stack nickels by just going to the bank and asking for rolls of nickels. A single nickel weighs 5 grams, 3.75 grams of copper, and 1.25 grams of nickel. 7.5 nickels contain an ounce of copper. A 1-ounce pure copper round costs around $5, but the paper spot price of copper is $0.36. 8 nickels are worth $0.40, which is more than the spot price of copper and doesn’t even include the nickel metal itself, and it’s cash that you could always deposit back into the bank for the face value at any time, so you can’t lose money. Even if the dollar loses value (which it will), and paper fiat becomes worthless, the metal the coins are made of will become more valuable. I’m not telling you to convert your life savings into nickels, but if you’re waiting for silver to come down and you want to do something, you can get a few rolls of nickels if you can’t source old 1960s dimes or 1980s pennies.

- The bottom line is that something is extremely likely to happen this week. If nothing happens this week, I’ll be very surprised. Russia and China aren’t going to cuck, and Trump was a retard to listen to Netenyahu. Now he’s written checks with his mouth; his ass can’t cash.

Monkey’s Market Minute: January 9th, 2026

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Trump is trying to deal with the housing cost crisis without allowing the housing bubble to pop and hurt the boomers. He’s going to stop companies like Blackstone from “investing” in single-family homes, and he’s directing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy more real-estate bonds to take them off the bank’s books and lower mortgage rates. This isn’t altogether a bad thing. It’s amusing seeing Trump trying to spin all these plates to keep the markets from crashing, and stopping “investors” from buying up family homes is a good thing, although not enough.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-were-mostly-lower-after-us-president-trump-took-aim-housing-and-defence-sectors , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/trump-lauches-his-own-qe-directs-gses-purchase-200-billion-mortgage-bonds

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Brent Crude Oil
o 2. WTI Crude Oil
o 3. Energy
o 4. Consumer Staples
o 5. Consumer Discretionary
o 6. Materials
o 7. Crypto

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Information Technology
o 3. Healthcare
o 4. Bonds
o 5. Bitcoin
o 6. S&P 500 Index
o Everything else was up.
- Tech is weak, and Trump is turning his attention to real estate with no mention of more bailouts for AI companies. If Trump is rotating and there’s no more free money for tech, that could be bad. Trump will have to calm the fears of Wall Street and assure them that they’ll keep getting free money, and that they’re daddy’s special little boy.

- In geopolitics, there are fake and gay protests and riots happening everywhere. In Iran, you have fake and gay riots funded and organized by Mossad. In Minnesota, you have fake and gay protests that will likely turn into another 6 months of riots because it’s an election year.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-plunged-internet-blackout-protests-spread-trump-issues-new-warning , https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/minneapolis-ice-shooting-01-08-26 , https://www.zerohedge.com/political/left-wing-protest-industrial-complex-activates-across-multiple-cities-after-ice-involved

- There’s nothing else to talk about that we haven’t already talked about. We’re waiting for the next shoe to drop, which is the Middle East. If there is horse trading going on, Iran won’t be attacked. If Iran is attacked, and the regime doubles down on Ukraine and Taiwan, then it’s WW3. I’ve heard boomer analysts claim that Russia will cuck and cut a deal in order to avoid WW3, giving the Regime and undeserved win and rewarding their aggression, which is retarded, and sets a precedent that the US can start wars, lose those wars, and then threaten WW3 if you don’t let them win, and they get what they want even though they lost. This is madness. Why is the whole world supposed to cuck to America and Israel because they have nukes, when they have nukes too? That may be the plan, though. If you trade your freedom for security, you will lose both and deserve neither.
source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nIey0DjPLRI

- So the bottom line is that we’re waiting for Russia, China, Israel, or Iran to do something. The die has been cast.

The Morning Constitutional: January 7th, 2026
https://www.mgtow.tv/watch/2026-01-07-08-00-16_bGcjya8KTIbomGM.html
/watch/2026-01-07-08-00-16_bGcjya8KTIbomGM.html

Monkey’s Market Minute: December 29th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The silver shortage has been confirmed, but silver fell due to the futures exchange emergency regulation changes. Metals are a long-term hedge, and not something you should be watching day-to-day and day trading, but I’m here, so we’ll be watching the silver market more closely going forward.
source: https://x.com/Barchart/status/2005439828922622201 , https://x.com/barkmeta/status/2005436618149069184 , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bitcoin-bruised-boxing-day-bonds-bid-precious-metals-rip-new-records , https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2005452517954768925

- The CME Group, the company behind the COMEX, has suddenly changed its regulations today, automatically liquidating speculators and stealing their money, as well as imposing a $25,000 margin minimum in order to prevent retail investors from squeezing silver higher. This caused silver to fall to $73. I warned you that the government would steal investors’ money like they did with nickel. I guess the only thing that prevented them from acting earlier was the Christmas holiday, but everyone is back to work, and the markets are still rigged.
source: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/gold/bullion-market-pads-up-for-silver-thursday-as-cme-group-raises-margin-cuts-limits/article70443588.ece

- Paradoxically, the stock market thinks record high silver prices is bullish for AI despite silver being used extensively throughout AI datacenters due to it being the best electrical conductor. How is it bullish? Because this will force AI companies to spend more money on data centers since they require silver, but how is that bullish exactly? That’s like saying inflation is bullish because everyone is spending money on everything.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/sp-futures-trade-record-high-precious-metal-surge-accelerates

- The winners in the market today are:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Broad Commodities
o 3. Gold
o 4. The VIX
o 5. Materials
o 6. Bitcoin
o 7. Consumer Staples

- The losers in the market today are:
o 1. WTI Crude Oil
o 2. Brent Crude Oil
o 3. Crypto
o 4. Bonds
o 5. Consumer Discretionary
o 6. Communications Technology
o 7. Financials

- If they manipulate the price of silver down, there won’t be any supply. The mines will have no investment to dig for more silver, nor will stackers have a reason to sell their silver. The price literally needs to rise for the people who need silver to make stuff, to get it. China’s export controls begin January 1st. Are they really just going to keep manipulating the price until the silver runs out? Ooooookay.
source: https://www.ainvest.com/news/china-2026-silver-export-controls-implications-global-supply-chains-strategic-metals-exposure-2512/

- In geopolitics, there are peace talks in Ukraine and Israel threatening Iran, but who cares? I’m more interested in North Korea suddenly having its first nuclear submarine. This allows North Korea to strike any target it wants, and North Korea can do what Russia and China can’t do.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/kim-jung-un-issues-new-year-message-putin-sharing-blood-life-death-same-trench , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelensky-meets-trump-mar-lago-ukrainian-capital-pounded-russia , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-awaits-netanyahus-war-pitch-iranian-president-says-israel-us-already-waging-full , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/netanyahus-new-slant-lure-trump-war-iran

- Lastly, China has made an unexpected move by broadcasting military simulations which show Chinese naval vessels protecting South American (i.e., Venezuelan) shipping and driving the US Navy to the Gulf of Mexico. Again, China never does this, and while they’re just broadcasting a simulation, this shows China is considering taking action if the US continues to aggress against Venezuela. It’s worth pointing out that China buys 81% of Venezuela’s crude oil, with the US ironically coming in 2nd at 17%. Let me also remind you that Russia is actively in Venezuela, arming them and providing military support. I don’t think war will happen, but maybe this will be the signal that Trump needs to stop waving his dick around and just take the deal he was offered in October to leave BRICS alone in exchange for an oil deal.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/chinese-military-simulates-caribbean-war-scenario-amid-trumps-gunboat-diplomacy

- So the bottom line is that silver “crashing” to $73 represents the government changing the rules and stealing investors’ money when they lose, which is why I stay out of the futures market these days, but it does literally nothing to alleviate the very real supply shortage in silver, which can only be alleviated by allowing the price to rise, but that will cause a banking crisis, so they need to keep silver at $75 or below until we hit the wall at full speed. There doesn’t seem to be a plan here, just more manipulation to stall for time. Time for what? The boomers to die, I guess.

Monkey’s Market Minute: December 26th, 2025

Since the markets have been closed for 2 days, and the media took the day off for Christmas, I can’t talk about anything. I’m seeing some rumors on social media but since the media took Christmas off, I can’t confirm anything, and it would be irresponsible of me to speculate in a vacuum.
China MAY be putting export controls on silver, which means that China isn’t just stacking gold, but silver as well, which I honestly didn’t see coming. I didn’t think silver was valuable enough for governments to worry about, and they would focus exclusively on gold, but I need confirmation. This could all be bullshit.
So, I’m sorry for the radio silence. I’ll talk about this more during the show assuming I can confirm anything on Friday.
Here is the new TFM Show thumbnail template for 2026 which I made today while taking advantage of the holiday.

The Morning Constitutional: December 24th, 2025
https://www.mgtow.tv/watch/2025-12-24-08-00-36_mtgSCXSSqQNB1fS.html
/watch/2025-12-24-08-00-36_mtgSCXSSqQNB1fS.html

The Morning Constitutional: December 17th, 2025
https://www.mgtow.tv/watch/2025-12-17-08-00-10_Y7CxEV5c4SopCmR.html
/watch/2025-12-17-08-00-10_Y7CxEV5c4SopCmR.html

The Morning Constitutional: December 10th, 2025
https://www.mgtow.tv/watch/2025-12-10-08-02-13_59gjIFKoHd6blpw.html
/watch/2025-12-10-08-02-13_59gjIFKoHd6blpw.html

Monkey’s Market Minute: December 9th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

Nothing happened today in the markets or geopolitics that we haven’t already talked about.

The winners in the market were:
1. The VIX
2. Bitcoin
3. Crypto
4. Information Technology
5. The US Dollar
6. Everything else was down

The losers in the market today were:
1. Natural Gas
2. Brent Crude Oil
3. WTI Crude Oil
4. Broad Commodities
5. Consumer Discretionary
6. Materials
7. Utilities

Why is crypto up? Because Trump signaled that he’s going to sign an executive order to eliminate state regulation of AI and force the country onto one federal regulation, which is bullish for the industry because less regulation is good, and apparently, what’s good for the AI bubble is good for crypto. That’s it.
source: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/08/us/politics/trump-executive-order-ai-laws.html , https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/08/tech/trump-eo-blocking-ai-state-laws

Trump is also letting Nvidia sell the chips to China that China banned, and everyone thinks this is bullish for Nvidia, even though China has already redirected all AI in China to using domestically produced chips as a matter of national security.
source: https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1998153128093372640 , https://x.com/TFMonkey2/status/1998154221565403313 ,
That’s it, nothing happened today. See you tomorrow!

Monkey’s Market Minute: December 5th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Not much to report. The news is still talking about the rate cuts in December, and that’s about it. Some squeezes are happening entirely due to the widespread use of stock options, and more and more people are openly talking about how absurd the AI bubble is.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/super-squeeze-sends-small-caps-soaring-bonds-bitcoin-dip-good-data , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/openai-faces-140-billion-losses-it-turns-1-profit , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/model-collapse-entire-bubble-economy-hallucination

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Crypto
o 2. Natural Gas
o 3. WTI Crude Oil
o 4. Communications Technology
o 5. Industrials
o 6. Brent Crude Oil
o 7. Agriculture Commodities

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Bonds
o 3. Healthcare
o 4. Consumer Staples
o 5. Materials
o 6. Bitcoin
o 7. Consumer Discretionary

- People are positioning for more money printing and more inflation, but the futures market is broken. What do?

- Nothing is happening in geopolitics. It’s December, so this isn’t unexpected.

- The bottom line is that nothing happened today. The only news is the expected rate cut, and nothing is happening geopolitically. So . . . yeah.

Monkey’s Market Minute: December 4th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Stocks recovered today, and the rate cut this month suddenly matters again on a Wednesday, where it didn’t on Monday or Tuesday.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bonds-bitcoin-bid-bad-jobs-data-lifts-rate-cut-odds

- Copper hit a new record high, which is kind of ironic since I was talking about copper a bit during the show and wasn’t expecting it to be in the news.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/lme-copper-hits-another-record-goldman-trader-pinpoints-driver-behind-move , https://www.zerohedge.com/precious-metals/gold-has-room-upside-goldman-maintains-4900-px-target

- Meanwhile, ZeroHedge is openly pointing out that the AI sector is going to be bailed out when it crashes. Socialism for billionaires.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/ai/ai-economy-and-public-risk-few-are-willing-admit

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Crypto
o 3. Energy
o 4. Bitcoin
o 5. Financials
o 6. Consumer Discretionary
o 7. Industrials

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. The US Dollar
o 3. Agriculture Commodities
o 4. Utilities
o 5. Gold
o Everything else was up.

- Nothing to say, honestly. The normies now care about rate cuts because the TV told them to.

- In geopolitics, the Russia peace talks were canceled after “no progress” was made with Russia. It’s almost like they’ve won and you’re not going to get them to compromise or something.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelenskys-meeting-us-envoy-cancelled-after-no-real-progress-5-hour-moscow-talks , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/europe-accuses-putin-faking-peace-talks-trump-envoys

- That’s about it. As I said, nothing is happening because it’s the holidays. Nobody is going to start a war right before Christmas.

- The bottom line is that we’ll get a rate cut, and the markets will chop sideways for a while. Trump needs to announce new bailouts and stimulus if he wants to keep the bubble propped up, which he’ll probably do early next year.

The Morning Constitutional: December 3rd, 2025
https://www.mgtow.tv/watch/2025-12-03-08-01-48_iMmMARPPenmvnQ4.html
/watch/2025-12-03-08-01-48_iMmMARPPenmvnQ4.html

Monkey’s Market Minute: December 2nd, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Silver is almost $60. I remember when it hit $40 and people were freaking out like it was July.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/silver-erupts-record-high-shanghai-inventories-crater-critical-levels , https://finance.yahoo.com/news/silver-trades-near-record-high-080613024.html

- Pay attention to Japan, the carry trade is over as Japan is coming to the end of the road regarding their debt, inflation, and slavery to the United States.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/will-boj-unleash-another-christmas-carry-trade-massacre, https://www.businessinsider.com/yen-carry-trade-boj-japan-interest-rate-hike-stocks-bonds-2025-12

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Natural Gas
o 3. Energy
o 4. Gold
o 5. Broad Commodities
o 6. Brent Crude Oil
o 7. Consumer Discretionary

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Bitcoin
o 2. Crypto
o 3. Utilities
o 4. Bonds
o 5. Healthcare
o 6. Industrials
o 7. Real Estate

- I’m not entirely surprised that the anticipated rate cut is being ignored because, as I said yesterday, the AI companies already have more money than they need, and they’re propping up the markets. Lower rates aren’t going to do much except cause inflation. In fact, there was an article today about how a market crash would be a good thing. Yes, the financial media is realizing that propping up market bubbles for years doesn’t actually make things better; it destroys the economy and ruins people’s lives. The only people winning are the billionaires and political insiders, which is a sign you’re on the wrong side.

- In geopolitics, there is a new “Issac Accords” movement in Latin America to expand Israeli influence. Why does Israel need influence in South America? Also, Trump is committing military forces to South America through 2028, presumably to expand Israeli influence. I guess South America is where the Jews are going to flee to after Israel is destroyed and white people have had enough of their shit after all. What saddens me the most about this is that the Zionists aren’t even pretending this is about America anymore. Why is the President of Argentina promoting Israeli influence and not, you know, Argentinian influence? Yes, I know Millei is Jewish, but he’s not Israeli. Your duty is to the people of your country, not to a Jewish country on the other side of the world.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-plans-keep-troops-caribbean-through-2028-defense-contracts-show , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/milei-launches-isaac-accords-expand-israeli-influence-latin-america

- A NATO top commander is claiming that NATO is thinking about attacking Russia directly and getting nuked again. They’re not going to do jack fucking shit. Cope harder.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/nato-mulls-preemptive-strike-against-russias-hybrid-warfare-claims-more-aggression , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/france-uk-still-insist-sending-troops-ukraine-effort-sabotage-trump-peace-plan , https://www.rt.com/russia/628747-russia-respond-nato-preemptive-strikes/

- So the bottom line is that I’m not sure what’s going to happen in the markets, but I know the government won’t let them fall. Maybe we’ll get more information on Project Genesis, where the government bails out the AI companies more, but rate cuts aren’t going to save anything. At least Israel has a plan and is being proactive. Everyone else is just stalling.

Monkey’s Market Minute: December 1st, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- These newsletters may get shorter due to the holidays and not much happening that we haven’t already talked about, so just a heads up.
- As far as the markets are concerned, everyone is expecting a rate cut from the FED in December, so that’s bullish, I guess, but really everything is dogshit, and we’re all just whistling passed the graveyard as the government props everything up.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/santa-rally-recipe-fed-put-full-force , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hawkish-december-fed-cut-would-be-problem-risk-sentiment , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-should-and-will-cut-dec-goldman

- The main issue with the narrative regarding rate cuts is that the AI bubble is the only thing propping up everything, and they have all the money they need already. Rate cuts don’t affect the AI bubble at this point, and the real economy is shit. The only thing the government can do to pump AI higher is give more details about “Genesis Mission” and offer more government bailouts and buy-ins for AI companies. I’m interested in the fact that we haven’t heard any further details regarding Genesis since it was announced a week ago.
source: https://www.aol.com/finance/trump-executive-order-brings-together-223405197.html

- Bitcoin puked today, dropping nearly 5% on a weekend due to a finance pool breach in something called “Yearn”. I don’t really pay attention to the crypto markets, but it’s a useful measure of normie bullishness or bearishness for tech in general, so Monday could be spicy.
source: https://www.investing.com/news/cryptocurrency-news/bitcoin-price-today-plunges-to-86k-as-yearn-finance-pool-breach-rattles-markets-4382733

- Nothing is going on in geopolitics. The wars will continue until the dollar collapses, even if the Regime loses on the battlefield.

- The bottom line is that rates will probably be cut slightly in December, which will affect nothing, and everything is still fake and gay.

Since I've been busy with my book, here is a bonus pic of some art along with the Celestina pic.

Monkey’s Market Minute November 29th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- I hope everyone had a good Thanksgiving and scored some good deals for Black Friday. I don’t normally do a newsletter on Friday since I have a livestream tomorrow, but since the markets were closed Thursday, it threw everything off, so we’re going to break tradition and do a newsletter on Friday this week.

- The FED is acknowledging a “K-shaped recovery”. What does that mean? It means the economy is in recession, but the stock market is doing great, but not the broad market, only the AI companies that are being propped up by the government. Whenever you hear “K-Shaped” whatever, it just means Socialism for Billionaires.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ohk

- I’ve seen some analysts saying that we’re not in a bubble because everyone is fearful and that bubbles are caused by euphoria, so we can’t be in a bubble. Here’s the thing about that, this “K-Shaped” socialism for billionaires shit is pretty unprecedented. The government is trying to keep the markets propped up come hell or high water, and while everyone knows it’s a bubble, they have nowhere else to park their money due to inflation. They’re fearful because the government has effectively nuked the entire concept of capitalism. That doesn’t mean this isn’t a bubble, it certainly is, but it’s a government-reinforced bubble, which is an extremely unhealthy dynamic because in the end everyone will lose and they’ll blame the government, and they’ll be fully justified in doing so. The question then becomes, what is the government supposed to do when the markets crash, and it’s the government’s fault? Who pays?
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bear-markets-dont-happen-when-liquiditys , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bulls-thankful-bitcoin-big-tech-bullion-bounce-ahead-turkey-day , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/silver-soars-record-high-november-climaxes-best-tnxgiving-week-lehman

- Silver has hit $55 an ounce. That’s crazy. If you have to ask why, you’re not going to make it. I’m not saying there won’t be volatility, and the price may fall, but unlike Bitcoin and crypto, metals are real, have intrinsic value, and have been money for thousands of years. Also, while all commodities are good hedges, metals don’t perish, can survive fire and water, and can be divided and recombined infinitely without losing purity. With the futures market broken, owning metals is the only play there is. If gold and silver are too rich for your blood, buy copper. I recommend 80% of your metals should be in silver, but copper is fine too. Copper is up almost 7% YTD, beating CPI.
source: https://www.bullionvault.com/gold-news/gold-price-news/silver-55-record-cme-comex-112820251 , https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-set-fourth-monthly-gain-markets-wager-us-rate-cut-2025-11-28/

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Crypto
o 3. WTI Crude Oil
o 4. Energy
o 5. Broad Commodities
o 6. Gold
o 7. Brent Crude Oil

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Bonds
o 3. Healthcare
o 4. The US Dollar
o Everything else was up.

- I don’t have anything to say. Everyone is just going to plug along until the dollar collapses and everything crashes at the same time. It didn’t have to be this way. So many people are going to die, but at least the boomers and Israel got what they wanted, right?

- Nothing is going on in geopolitics, which isn’t surprising since we’re in the holiday season and people are going to want to spend time with their families and not fighting wars. The Ukraine peace plan is dead again, and there’s no evidence that Trump is going to cut Ukraine off. The US doesn’t need Europe’s permission to do anything involving Ukraine, but without Europe, nobody is going to buy our bonds, and that means the dollar collapses, so Europe has leverage over us due to Biden and Trump’s refusal to end the wars and let the markets crash to pretend the empire isn’t over. It’s sad, but par for the course for boomers.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/regime-change-kyiv-us-peace-plan-demands-ukraine-hold-rapid-elections-after-signing , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/did-rubio-neo-con-trumps-ukraine-peace-plan , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/nato-chief-rules-out-russian-veto-ukraine-joining-alliance-erecting-barrier-toward

- So the bottom line is we’re back to “we’ll see” mode, but there is no big decision to wait for or look forward to. The only question is when all of this will crash and burn. The markets are fake. The economy is shit. The government is propping up billionaires to keep wars going that it can’t even win, just to avoid admitting they lost. We really just need the boomers to die already, holy shit. Please, just go to Jesus already.

Happy Thanksgiving

No MMM today, but here is a picture of Celestina and a picture from the book I'm working on that I want to show off.

Don't go too crazy on pie, and enjoy the Black Friday shopping.

The Morning Constitutional: November 26th, 2025
https://www.mgtow.tv/watch/2025-11-26-08-01-26_X8zRrFzyoDO9Qau.html
/watch/2025-11-26-08-01-26_X8zRrFzyoDO9Qau.html

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 25th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- I told you so. The markets ripped today with the headline of “Buy All The Things”. What happened? Nothing, it’s what didn’t happen. I told you that if the market doesn’t crash completely, the normies would pour back in, and I predicted they would pour back in this week, and they did right on schedule. Nothing has improved fundamentally. Everything that caused the sell-off last week is still in play, but if there is no crash, it’s back into the bubble.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/buy-all-things-theres-dip-buyers-galore-rate-cut-odds-soar , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/cta-selling-done-citadel-flows-guru-sees-big-volatility-ahead , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-rallied-amid-tech-strength-and-fed-rate-cut-bets-newsquawk-asia-pac-market-open

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Bitcoin
o 2. Crypto
o 3. Information Technology
o 4. Communications Technology
o 5. WTI Crude Oil
o 6. Brent Crude Oil
o 7. Gold

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Natural Gas
o 3. Consumer Staples
o 4. Agriculture Commodities
o 5. Energy
o Everything else was up.

- How long will the rally last? Honestly, I was a bit surprised by the crash last week. Yes, Nvidia is being propped up by fraud, and the government is lying about everything, but “number go up”, and that’s all that matters. Everyone will dump at a notice, but until something breaks, there’s nowhere else to be unless you want to sit in cash for year after year like me.

- In geopolitics, Ukraine is rejecting the US’s peace plan because Europe claims to have Ukraine’s back. All Trump can do now is cut Ukraine off and tell Europe that if they are so set on keeping the war with Russia going, they can pay for everything and figure out how to arm Ukraine with non-existent weapons. Will Trump do that, though? Probably not unless it benefits Israel.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukraine-rejects-key-aspects-trumps-peace-plan-including-giving-territory , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/europes-counter-plan-ukraine-peace-door-left-wide-open-ukraines-nato-admission

- Japan is provoking China and moving missiles towards Taiwan. However, keep in mind that Japan is broke as hell, and within the swap lines from the US, Japan would financially collapse, so Japan is going to do whatever they’re told, and I guess the Regime is telling Japan to sacrifice itself and provoke China. Japan can’t do shit. They don’t even have a military. Their military is the United States, which can’t do shit either.
- source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/japan-deploys-missiles-near-taiwan-china-blasts-right-wing-forces-taking-tokyo

- The final act of the Regime before they admit that Russia defeated them in Ukraine is to steal Russia’s frozen assets and kill the dollar even faster. I think they just realized that the dollar is dying no matter what, so they might as well take Russia’s money because not taking it wouldn’t change anything. It’s several hundred billion dollars, but it’s a trick they won’t be able to do twice. Stupid and petty, but what do you expect from boomers?
source: https://www.cfr.org/article/how-use-russias-frozen-assets , https://www.kyivpost.com/post/64652

- The bottom line is that the markets are not safe, but as long as number go up, normies have nowhere else to go. The wars are a joke, but the Regime can stall. That’s all they’re doing at this point. They’ll stall for the market crash with fraud and bullshit, and they’ll stall the decline of the empire with more fraud and bullshit. When does this end? Who knows? It’ll work until it doesn’t.

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 24th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The markets are bracing for more losses and begging the FED to cut rates to keep the bubble from popping. Again, I expect the market to recover next week, not because the fundamentals are good, but because the government has to prop up the market because they have no backup plan.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-panic-index-nears-record-chase-downside-protection-charts , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hartnett-fed-needs-cut-and-bitcoin-will-be-first-sniff-out-coming-fed-capitulation , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/surge-hedging-signals-traders-increasingly-anxious-years-rally-may-be-over

- JP Morgan attacked Microstrategy, the big Bitcoin company of Michael Saylor, and the cryptards are upset because this signals the end of institutional adoption, which means Bitcoin’s days are numbered. Womp womp, get fucked.
source: https://beincrypto.com/jp-morgan-boycott-microstrategy-epstein/ , https://invezz.com/news/2025/11/21/jpmorgan-flags-mstr-delisting-risk-what-it-means-for-investors/ , https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/markets/michael-saylor-responds-to-jpmorgans-msci-delisting-warning , https://x.com/AshCrypto/status/1992791295493063056

- Michael Burry, who you will recall is closing down his hedge fund at the end of the year and retiring, is opening up a paid Substack instead, which is kind of ironic because he’s basically doing what I’m doing. It’s impossible to operate a hedge fund or be a financial advisor in this bubble environment ethically, so doing a newsletter is the only ethical play until the market begins making sense again. To be fair, Burry is charging $380 a year, and I’m only charging $60, plus you get all my spicy red pill takes on women’s rights, sex dolls, and racism.
source: https://x.com/joinautopilot/status/1992749875117895870

- In geopolitics, Hamas is saying the ceasefire is over because Israel keeps violating it with airstrikes, but Hamas already released all the hostages, so there is nothing they can do to negotiate them to stop. They can just cry about it while nobody does anything. Israel is also conducting air strikes in Lebanon. It doesn’t matter.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/hamas-threatens-ceasefire-over-amid-rising-israeli-airstrikes , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/israel-says-it-assassinated-founding-member-hezbollah-fresh-beirut-strike

- There’s nothing else going on. No updates regarding Venezuela. We’ll see what next week brings, but BRICS is playing defensively, so if there is an escalation, it will be due to the Regime, and the Regime may be pivoting, so we’ll see. Israel will consolidate their seizure of the Gaza Strip and West Bank, and possibly southern Lebanon, but that may be slipping away. I was expecting Israel to move much quicker than they actually are, which may show that they aren’t going to achieve much more than finishing off the Palestinians.

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 21st, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The markets are falling, seemingly for no reason whatsoever. Some people are blaming an algorithm that discovered that Nvidia’s stellar sales were false, and that the entire AI sector is being held up by circular accounting fraud (i.e., the AI circle jerk). Other people are blaming the collapsing Japanese economy, who are forced to allow their bond yields to rise due to its debt, killing the carry trade and easy money of borrowing Japanese money at 0% and investing in US bonds for 4% risk-free.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/all-hell-breaks-loose-japan-yen-bonds-crash-ahead-gigantic-debt-busting-stimulus , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/mega-caps-crypto-pumped-dumped-ahead-largest-nov-opex-history , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-see-aggressive-selling-fading-post-nvda-upside-and-more-newsquawk-us-market-wrap , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-crypto-slammed-nvda-erases-post-earnings-gains

- Another reason for the selloff is that the labor data came in super high, well above expectations, so there are plenty of jobs and the economy is doing great. Nobody actually believes that, but since the government is lying about the labor market, it poisons the well for the FED to cut rates in December. Trump’s ego and desire to be the greatest president ever is causing him to cover up bad economic and labor data, which in turn is sending a message to not cut rates to the FED. After all, if the labor market is doing great and there’s no inflation, why SHOULD the FED cut rates? Everything’s great, and there’s absolutely no crisis happening whatsoever.
source: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/jobs-report-september-2025-economy-trump-hiring-bls/ , https://abcnews.go.com/Business/long-delayed-jobs-report-show-hiring-amid-wobbly/story?id=127668400

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Consumer Staples
o 3. Bonds
o 4. The US Dollar
o Everything else was down.

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Crypto
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. Information Technology
o 4. Natural Gas
o 5. Industrials
o 6. Consumer Discretionary
o 7. Materials

- The hilarious part of this crash is that the markets were green I the morning, and the cryptards were gloating and sharing memes about how the markets were green again, and dunking on Michael Burry, and then they were panicking later that afternoon.
- In geopolitics, Zelensky is agreeing to actually engage in real peace talks with Russia and to stop being a retard. This probably has to do with the exposed imbezzlement, including a literal golden toilet. I think people are done with this shit.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelensky-agrees-engage-us-plan-end-war-which-features-territorial-concessions , https://www.rt.com/news/628083-reuters-us-pressure-ukraine-peace-plan-russia/ , https://www.rt.com/russia/628084-putin-ukraine-golden-potties/

- In the Middle East, Israel has launched its biggest strike against Gaza, violating the ceasefire. The hostages are all returned at this point, so there’s nothing Hamas can do. I’m surprised Israel waited this long. This is probably related to Ukraine. If Israel is going to call off their second war with Iran (because they’d lose) and focus on Gaza, there’s no reason to hold onto Ukraine as a bargaining chip for Russia to throw Iran under the bus (which wouldn’t have worked anyway). Sucks for the Palestinians, but this is how things were always going to go, and Hamas didn’t have a choice. They get the optics victory of proving (once again) that Israel is bad, but nobody is going to do anything about it, so who cares?
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/qatar-warns-gaza-ceasefire-brink-collapse-after-24-hours-israeli-strikes

- No update regarding Venezuela at this time, but Israel's reigniting of the genocide in Gaza may be the Regime’s attempt to start a new war to take the attention off the war they just lost, once again.

- The bottom line is that the markets are probably not going to keep crashing. The AI circle jerk is still in play, and the government has a lot more tools in its belt to prolong the bubble. Things might continue downward or chop sideways, but eventually things will stabilize, and that does NOT mean that everything is safe and it’s time to rotate back into stocks. To rotate back into stocks, we’ll need to see stocks return to sanity and broad market stabilization, not just 10 AI-related companies doing well based on accounting fraud. I really don’t want to stay in cash for another year, but I’m not putting my life savings into the rigged casino.

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 20th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The big news is that Nvidia beat expectations with their earnings due to the AI circle-jerk and all their chips being sold off before they’re even manufactured. I was wondering if Michael Burry knew something I didn’t, and that maybe the AI bubble was going to crack for some reason despite the AI circle jerk and the promise of bailouts, but no, Michael Burry just lost a lot of money again shorting Nvidia. You can’t win in the rigged casino. This is probably why he’s shutting down his hedge fund. I was rooting for him to go out with a bang, but c’est la vie.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gpus-are-sold-out-nvidia-soars-after-blowing-away-results-projections

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Information Technology
o 3. The US Dollar
o 4. Industrials
o 5. Materials
o 6. Financials
o 7. S&P 500 Index

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. WTI Crude Oil
o 4. Brent Crude Oil
o 5. Crypto
o 6. Agriculture Commodities
o 7. Energy

- Despite Nvidia’s earnings beat, the sector is still looking bad. How much longer will the AI circle jerk continue? Eventually, the money has to actually materialize from somewhere to pay for all of this unless the US government actually guarantees OpenAI’s loans.

- In geopolitics, there is a rumor that Trump is forcing Zelensky to make concessions to Russia and actually engage in some serious peace talks, and not just waste everyone’s time and stall for Israel. Why now? Perhaps Israel has given up on Iran, and there’s no point holding onto Ukraine as a bargaining chip any longer, especially with the midterms next year and Ukraine being one of Trump’s many failed promises. Who can say, but this is a good sign because it might mean the Regime is taking an L for once.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-feels-its-being-heard-trump-advancing-secret-28-point-plan-end-ukraine-war , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/witkoff-zelensky-erdogan-meet-turkey-effort-jump-start-peace-talks-again

- In Venezuela, Maduro is seeking a meeting with Trump officials. He’s already offering access to Venezuela's oil to US companies, and with the strategic partnership ratified with Russia, this is a good deal Trump can take and look like he won. It means giving up on kicking BRICS out of South America, but that wasn’t going to happen anyway. If I were Trump, I’d make a deal, get a little oil, and go home and pretend like this was all 4D chess the entire time. In reality, BRICS will have reinforced its allies in South America, and will be a boost to Russia’s ability to protect its allies from the US, even on the other side of the world. A win for BRICS, but Trump got something out of it too, so he can act like it was a win/win, which is how to appease Trump’s ego when trying to negotiate with him.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/venezuelas-maduro-seeks-face-face-talks-trump-officials

- The bottom line is that the markets are still fake and gay, and it only ends when the AI circle jerk does, but I highly suspect the government will bail it out because if the markets crash, the wars end, and the empire falls. Michael Burry should have known that. Sucks to suck, I guess. Whether or not Ukraine and Venezuela end soon has yet to be seen. The Regime taking an L would mean we’re closer to the end of the cycle, and we may be in the clear for escalation and nuclear war, so that would be a good thing, but I’m suspicious because boomers never take the L.

The Morning Constitutional: November 19th, 2025
https://www.mgtow.tv/watch/the-morning-constitutional-november-19th-2025_LEk9ggXPoNlUC5p.html
/watch/the-morning-constitutional-november-19th-2025_LEk9ggXPoNlUC5p.html

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 18th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- JP Morgan is blaming the falling market on the FED not printing more money and making more cash available to banks to fund more debt and leverage in the market. So again, Wall Street needs a bailout, to hell with the inflation.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/top-jpm-trader-repo-stress-has-been-main-reason-market-reversal-and-what-happens-next

- Gold is back up near its record highs, and it’s come out that China has been buying 10X the gold they’ve been reporting.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/sponsored-post/4080-gold-buy-sell-or-something-better , https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2025-11-17/central-banks-are-loading-gold-what-happens-if-they-stop , https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2025-11-17/17250-gold-inevitable-billionaire-lassonde-says-were-life-changing-period , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ft-confirms-our-report-2024-china-buying-10x-more-gold-officially-disclosed

- There has also been a lot of talk about how tariffs don’t raise inflation based on 150 years of data, but the issue is that Trump is using tariffs in a different way. Traditionally, tariffs are a tax on imports to make them more expensive so domestic alternatives can compete. They’re not meant to be an economic weapon to force countries to stop doing business with Russia or else face 100% tariffs when there are no domestic alternatives for people to buy. This isn’t tariffs, it’s economic warfare, and since there are no domestic alternatives, consumers will simply be forced to pay more, which IS inflationary. Think of it this way: if Pepsi is taxed by the government at 100% and doubles in price, but Coke remains the same price, people will just switch to drinking Coke, and the amount of spending on cola won’t change much because Coke didn’t go up, only Pepsi. That’s how tariffs don’t cause inflation. Now imagine if the government tariffs a product that can only be imported, and there is no alternative? Prices would just go up. Why would the government do this when it doesn’t create any jobs and just raises prices? Because Trump is simply using tariffs as an economic weapon to try to hurt BRICS, and failing.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/150-years-data-upend-economic-orthodoxy-fed-study-finds-tariffs-lower-not-raise-inflation

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Agriculture Commodities
o 3. Utilities
o 4. Bonds
o 5. The US Dollar
o 6. Communications Technology
o Everything else was down.

o The losers in the market today were:
 1. Natural Gas
 2. Crypto
 3. Bitcoin
 4. Financials
 5. Energy
 6. Information Technology
 7. Materials
o Not much to say. A lot of pundits are trying to call the bottom so they can look smart, but unless Trump announces bailouts, it’s going to keep falling.

- In geopolitics, the new female Japanese Prime Minister, who was supposed to be super right-wing and anti-immigrant, is just provoking China and doing what the Regime wants and doesn’t seem to be doing anything about the immigrant problems, which is what she was elected to do. Tell me if you’ve heard this song before. Japan is in serious economic trouble, so it likely had to swear loyalty to Israel and do whatever the Regime told them to do. Many such cases. If only we took women’s rights away, we wouldn’t have these sorts of problems.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/threats-sanctions-economic-warfare-japan-china-relations-sink-decades-low

- The bottom line is that I’m waiting for Trump to bail Wall Street out, and I don’t know what he’s waiting for. He met with Wall Street CEOs the other week privately, so something is cooking. I couldn’t tell you what he’s waiting for. Maybe for the FED to announce rate cuts, who knows?

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 17th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The media is strangely quiet on crypto falling, and even long-term whales are selling their entire crypto portfolio. For what it’s worth, Bitcoin was slightly up today (less than a percent), but it’s essentially flat, and with the media silent and nobody pumping it, it’s not looking good for those of you who thought you were smarter than me. Enjoy the ride down, I guess.
source: https://www.livemint.com/market/cryptocurrency/bitcoin-price-today-token-sinks-to-six-month-low-below-93-000-wiping-out-over-30-ytd-gains-ether-solana-decline-11763357031323.html , https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/11/14/bitcoin-slides-below-usd95k-in-worst-week-since-march-analyst-sets-downside-target-at-usd84k

- There’s more talk of the government bailing out the AI sector because now it’s an “arms race” against China, so the AI sector is “too big to fail”. Utterly predictable, but it’s actually likely to happen because the Regime has no other plan. AI was their only hope to “grow their way out of this,” as they spent over half a trillion dollars while the government was shut down. Let me repeat that because it bears repeating. The government was shut down, and during that time, the government added over half a trillion dollars to the debt. That’s how fucked we are.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/what-right-way-think-about-ai-build-out-late-1990s-industrial-buildout-or-another , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hedge-fund-cio-everyone-positioning-2026-when-trump-will-do-everything-imaginable-win , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-debt-rose-620-billion-during-government-shutdown

- Corporate bankruptcies are at a 15-year high, surpassing even that of COVID when the government shut down the entire economy.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/corporate-bankruptcies-pace-15-year-high-more-isolated-incidents-occur

- In geopolitics, Mexico is turning on its Jewish President, led by Zoomers who spray-painted “Jewish Whore” in Spanish on the gates of the national palace. I don’t know what specifically is going on in Mexico. There are reports of local politicians being killed by the cartels and the government not really doing anything about it, but I suspect there’s more to the story. I admit that Mexico hasn’t been on my radar, but I’ll keep my eye on it and see if I can find what’s going on down there.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/beginning-revolution-populist-revolt-shocks-mexico

- There is a leaked memo that links Venezuela to chemical weapons, and the media is already rolling their eyes and making comparisons to Iraq and their lies about “WMDs” that weren’t there. This is why they leak these sorts of things, to gauge the public’s reaction, and if it’s negative, they just quietly memory-hole it.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/secret-us-memo-links-venezuela-chemical-weapons-threat , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/could-small-venezuelan-island-be-real-reason-behind-us-militarys-caribbean-buildup

- The bottom line is that, as far as the market is concerned, it’s looking like a lot of people are selling, but my gut tells me Trump won’t let the market crash because it means the end of the wars and the empire. Then again, I didn’t think Biden was going to drive OPEC into BRICS and kill the petrodollar either, so maybe Trump is just a dumbass who loves Jew cum, and doesn’t really know what he’s doing.

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 14th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The markets shit the bed today because the government reopening didn’t actually mean anything, because the government being shut down didn’t mean anything either. Was your life even affected in any way when the government was shut down for over 40 days? Did you even notice? If the answer was “no”, why would the government reopening make a difference?
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/big-reopening-vote-triggers-bloodbath-bitcoin-big-tech-rate-cut-odds-tumble , https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/wrap-puke-small-cap-tech-crashes-vol-pops-crypto-cracks-gamma-bites

- There’s another elephant in the room, which is causing the AI bubble to wobble, and that’s China and the new Kimi AI that nobody saw coming and everyone is pretending to ignore.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-sold-led-tech-weakness-amid-concerns-about-valuations-and-ai-race-china-newsquawk , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/whats-driving-equity-market-weakness-morning , https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2025/11/13/chinas-ai-is-quietly-making-big-inroads-in-silicon-valley , https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-trends/article/3332507/attention-deficit-reorder-how-chinas-ai-start-ups-are-rewiring-way-models-remember

- Michael Burry is retiring and shutting down his hedge fund. He’s not bankrupt or anything; he’s just moving on to “better things” in his own words. I’ll miss him. He’s liquidating his fund at the end of the year and returning all capital to his investors.
source: https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/sustainable-finance-reporting/michael-burry-big-short-fame-deregisters-scion-asset-management-2025-11-13/ , https://fortune.com/2025/11/13/the-big-short-investor-closing-scion-ai-bubble-depreciation-explained/

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Brent Crude Oil
o 3. WTI Crude Oil
o 4. Energy
o Everything else was down.

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Crypto
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. Information Technology
o 4. Consumer Discretionary
o 5. Industrials
o 6. Communications Technology
o 7. S&P 500 Index

- Commodities aren’t a hedge against the crash; nothing is. Cash will crash the least, but will continue to lose value due to inflation, so it’s all screwed.

- In geopolitics, the Pentagon is briefing Trump on his “military options” against Venezuela for the “coming days”. It looked like Trump was going to back down from the Venezuela nonsense and use his crashing poll numbers to pivot from starting more wars to focusing on domestic problems like the people elected him for, but perhaps not. It doesn’t matter either way. If the Regime pulls the trigger, they’re underestimating Russia again. Russia ratified the strategic partnership with Venezuela, and its reputation will be on the line. If they can’t protect Venezuela from the US’s “regime change” operations, several nations that would otherwise join BRICS will be too scared to do so out of fear of inviting the US’s wrath. That’s all that’s on the line as far as Russia is concerned, so it’s medium risk, high reward. For the US, it’s high risk, low reward. If they win, they don’t actually gain much, but if they lose, and losing simply means Moduro holds on to power, the Regime is FUUUUUUUUCKED.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/pentagon-briefs-trump-military-options-against-venezuela-coming-days , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/colombia-joins-britain-suspending-intel-sharing-us

- The bottom line is that, despite the market activity today, I fully expect a government bailout. The Regime is in too deep, and they have no backup plan. AI was their only chance to “grow our way out of this” and for the boomers to relive the glory of the “Space Race”, and if there’s one thing the boomers won’t do is admit they lost and cut their losses early. They’re going to double, triple, quadruple, and septuple down and dig their grave all the way through the Earth and come out the other side in China. Long story short, I expect the bubble to be salvaged and maintained by any means necessary. I’m not saying to buy the dip, though. The casino is rigged, and I’m not betting my life savings on this shit.

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 13th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The enthusiasm for the government reopening is beginning to fade as people are beginning to realize that the government being shut down didn’t change anything, and the government reopening changes even less, and all the problems in the AI sector are still there.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bitcoin-black-gold-battered-bonds-bullion-bid-ai-angst-builds , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-mixed-ahead-house-vote-government-shutdown-newsquawk-us-market-wrap , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/retail-stock-buyers-are-courageously-climbing-wall-worry , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/oracle-first-ai-domino-drop-after-barclays-downgrades-its-debt-sell , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/why-you-should-be-skeptical-about-stock-rally

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Gold
o 2. The VIX
o 3. Healthcare
o 4. Financials
o 5. Materials
o 6. Natural Gas
o 7. Utilities

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. WTI Crude Oil
o 2. Brent Crude Oil
o 3. Energy
o 4. Bitcoin
o 5. Crypto
o 6. Communications Technology
o 7. Agriculture Commodities

- Not much to add. The rally caused by the government reopening was a bit irrational, given that the shutdown itself barely impacted anything in the first place.

- In geopolitics, there is an article about how Trump is trying to box in Iran with the help of Azerbaijan and Turkey, and that the US is trying to resurrect a central-Asian pipeline to get oil to Europe while bypassing Russia and Iran. This is doomed to fail. BRICS has Asia locked down. Some of these poor and unimportant countries, like Azerbaijan, are willing to take the US’s money, but they’re not going to pick a fight with BRICS. This article is delusional.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trans-caspian-pipeline-resurrected-washington-plots-return-central-asia

- While this next bit isn’t globally significant, AfD, the center-right opposition party of Germany, said they were going to send a representative to the BRICS meeting, and today the German government shut down their bank accounts. Again, this isn’t globally significant as it changes nothing, but it’s interesting watching how pants shittingly terrified the Regime is of its vassals meeting with BRICS.
source: https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1988607717817381071

- The bottom line is that nothing really happened today. Maybe it was because it was a holiday (Veterans Day) or something. It’s okay, a quite uneventful day isn’t the worst thing.

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 11th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The government isn’t quite reopened, but the deal passed the Senate and is heading to the House, and the stock market went on on optimism that the government can keep those bailouts coming.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-gained-government-reopening-hopes-newsquawk-asia-pac-market-open , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/big-tech-bullion-bitcoin-bid-washington-wobble-worries-fade , https://www.zerohedge.com/political/senate-eyes-monday-passage-shutdown-bill-johnson-thinks-house-has-votes

- Trump may inadvertently do something useful. He’s pushing hard to get nuclear energy back online in America because the AI companies need more energy than America can provide. Even a broken clock, right?
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/trump-admin-lend-hundreds-billions-build-nuclear-power-plants , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/microsoft-cant-power-all-its-ai-chips-says-ceo-satya-nadella

- The winners in he market today were:
o 1. Gold
o 2. Information Technology
o 3. Bitcoin
o 4. Communications Technology
o 5. Broad Commodities
o 6. S&P 500 Index
o 7. Consumer Discretionary

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Consumer Staples
o 3. Real Estate
o 4. Utilities
o 5. The US Dollar
o Everything else was up.

- Basically, with the government propping up and bailing out the market, it’s a “sure thing” unless the government is shut down and they can’t bail you out, but with the government reopening until February 2026, bailouts are guaranteed, and the government won’t even wait for a crash. They’ll pre-emptively bail you out, so just keep “trusting the plan” until the government causes a total financial collapse with their greed and stupidity. Please note the quotation marks around “sure thing”.

- No updates in geopolitics. Nothing going on to report anywhere. Some Republicans are begging Trump to stop fighting all these wars for Israel and to focus on Americans. LOL, LMAO even!
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/100-christian-leaders-urge-trump-save-syrias-christians-he-hosts-president-sharaa , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/latest-us-attacks-drug-boats-brings-total-19-conservatives-urge-trump-stop-foreign

- So the bottom line is that there isn’t anything to report that I didn’t predict yesterday. I’m glad Trump is pushing for nuclear energy, even if it’s only to prop up the AI bubble, but it’ll take years to build even a single nuclear reactor, and shit will crash before then, but at least he’s doing something good for Americans, even if it’s for the wrong reasons.

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 10th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The Democrats made a deal to reopen the government. The Democrats got all fired federal workers rehired with back pay, and full funding of food stamps through 2026 in exchange for reopening the government for two months. Yes, they’re only going to reopen he government until January 30th, 2026, so they’ll get two months and some change before the government shuts down again, but they’ll get food stamps funded for the rest of the year. All in all, it doesn’t look like the Republicans cucked on the healthcare for illegal aliens, so that’s surprising. The government being reopened, even if only for two months, is being welcomed as bullish.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/shutdown-breakthrough-dems-ready-deal-thune-hopeful-thanksgiving-travel-looms

- Next, Trump is reviving talk of the $2,000 “tariff dividend” stimmy checks. Now, the thing is that the government is still running record budget deficits. There isn’t a surplus of cash being taken in by the tariffs; the tariffs are a drop in the bucket compared to what the government is spending, so this is just more welfare and more stimmy checks. This, combined with the 50-year mortgage plan, is just Trump trying to keep the bubble going a little longer with more stimmies and more debt. I told you that Trump had to keep the bubble inflated. If the bubble pops, the economy crashes, and the wars end, so strap in for stagflation.
source: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-hell-issue-2000-tariff-dividend-except-high/story?id=127356839

- Something I talked about on the show but didn’t provide a source for is that the government under Trump is making up, I mean “estimating” more and more of the prices that make up the CPI. This is entirely intentional as prices are a click away, but the government is going to use this black box of estimated prices to hide the inflation, so even though inflation will be seen and felt, the numbers will come in low, and THAT is the government’s solution to inflation, just gaslight you about it and hope you don’t notice. To put things into perspective, we’ve gone from less than 10% of CPI being estimated to 40% in less than a single year under Trump to maintain this bubble.
source: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-consumer-prices-rise-slightly-less-than-expected-september-2025-10-24/ , https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1987321740872327300

- Bitcoin is way up today, and I fully expect a rally due to the government reopening alone. The $2,000 stimmies may be bullshit. Trump has promised them before, and nothing came of it. What does the government's re-opening fundamentally change? Nothing, but I expect a rally anyway, because bailouts are the new narrative. As long as investors believe bailouts are coming, the market won’t fall (much).

- There isn’t anything to report geopolitically. There was a fake report circulating about Venezuela regarding Maduro stepping down to avoid a war with the US, but that makes no sense whatsoever, and the only source is Newsweek, with no proof provided whatsoever, so it’s bullshit. I could tell it was bullshit just because the move makes no sense, but the Regime does love its gaslighting and propaganda, don’t they?
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/maduro-open-managed-exit-if-trump-provides-amnesty-putin-standby-military-aid

- So the bottom line is that nothing is happening except the government is being reopened for a couple of months to get us passed the holidays, and that’s about it. Everything else isn’t looking good, but I expect a rally at least early in the week on the government re-opening news. Nobody is talking about the new Kimi AI, but it doesn’t matter if we lose the AI war because government bailouts are coming! I’ll be watching Venezuela for any news, and I’m also seeing if Israel is dumb enough to attack Iran, but I doubt it, at least for now. They’re going to finish things with Gaza, the West Bank, and likely Lebanon first, so Venezuela is likely the next show to drop unless Trump realizes that a war with Venezuela is too high risk, low reward, and memory holes it, but we’ll see.

Monkey’s Market Minute: November 7th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- It was another bad day in the markets as the AI bubble isn’t looking so good, and the government didn’t make any announcements of bailouts to calm investors, so they’re beginning to panic. They expect the government to announce bailouts and loan guarantees any day now, but it hasn’t happened yet, and people aren’t “trusting the plan” any longer.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ai-no-longer-buy-everything-trade-goldman-traders-see-zero-sum-game-emerge-huang-warns , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-were-sold-amid-weak-labour-data-proxies-and-ai-concerns-newsquawk-asia-pac-market , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/risk-trade-soft-job-proxies-while-ai-concerns-mount-newsquawk-us-market-wrap

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Natural Gas
o 3. Bonds
o 4. Energy
o 5. Healthcare
o Everything else was down.

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Crypto
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. Consumer Discretionary
o 4. Information Technology
o 5. Agriculture Commodities
o 6. S&P 500 Index
o 7. Communications Technology

- Yesterday’s rally was caused by investors expecting Trump to announce bailing out AI and offering loan guarantees, but nothing happened. The only reason “bad news is good news” is that investors expect government bailouts whenever something bad is brewing. No bailouts means they’re fucked.

- In geopolitics, Trump continues his streak of caring more about Israel than America by touting the expansion of the Abraham Accords with the joining of Kazakhstan, which has normalized relations for 30 years. This move was completely meaningless, but it’s something Trump can claim he accomplished, again for Israel, not the United States. This is really all he’s going to do, isn’t it?
source: https://apnews.com/article/us-israel-kazakhstan-abraham-accords-5bf062712bd7bb326640bd78ba505d19

- Nothing else to report. Frankly, I wasn’t expecting anything to happen at all as we head into the holidays, and I’m very surprised that Trump hasn’t announced some major bailouts and loan guarantees for the AI sector. Maybe they’re waiting until after a washout to make some money, but frankly, they HAVE to bail out the AI sector because if it crashes, everything crashes, and the wars end, and Israel still needs Trump to fight its wars for it, so the wars can’t be allowed to end. I fully expect Trump to announce to support for the bubble if it continues to struggle, and I’m surprised it hasn’t happened already.

- The bottom line is that we’re back to “we’ll see” mode regarding Venezuela and the AI bubble. Will the US pull the trigger and bet everything on a war in South America against a well-armed Russian proxy? Will Trump bail out the AI sector and kill his base once and for all as he sucks Israel’s dick dry? We’ll see.