Monkey’s Market Minute: October 14th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- So it looks like while Trump cucked in order to calm the markets down and prevent a massive selloff on Monday, behind the scenes, the trade war with China is heating up. The media isn’t reporting this in the mainstream, and as long as Trump doesn’t tweet anything, I guess the normies are blissfully ignorant, but Treasury Secretary Bessent is threatening China, the Chinese foreign minister is threatening the US, and the Dutch seized a Chinese company that was operating in Europe, so it’s on bitch. The market is ignoring all of this because until Trump tweets, it doesn’t exist.
source: https://x.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/1977819125926764589 , https://x.com/ricwe123/status/1977765395533562364 , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-rebounded-following-trumps-softer-rhetoric-china-newsquawk-asia-pac-market-open , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/dutch-suddenly-seize-control-china-owned-chip-maker , https://x.com/BarrettYouTube/status/1977646334095356033

- The reason this is so serious is, as I explained on Saturday, the defense industry NEEDS rare earth minerals for missiles. They’re on a buying spree because they’re worried that China is going to shut off the supply, and there is nothing they can do about it. Again, it’s not that rare Earth minerals are all that rare, but the processing of rare earths is rare, and controlled almost entirely by China because of the environmental impact of processing rare earths. There is no way in hell the environmentalists and NIMBY boomers will allow the US to process its own rare earths. It’s another reason why a trade war with China is suicide, but the Regime refuses to stop its warmongering, so here we are.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/rare-earth-stocks-go-vertical-after-report-pentagon-go-1-billion-critical-mineral-buying

- What happened on Friday could repeat itself literally any day now once the word gets out that the trade war with China wasn’t a “big misunderstanding” after all. Will the Regime actually take the fucking L for once in their lives? Absolutely not! These are boomers we’re dealing with rememebr. They are too used to just being stubborn and getting their way eventually, and they’re not going to stop until they’re broke and dead.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2025-10-13/crypto-flash-crash-exposes-unhedged-over-leveraged-longs-using-dubious-collateral

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Crypto
o 2. Information Technology
o 3. Gold
o 4. Consumer Discretionary
o 5. Materials
o 6. Energy
o 7. Communications Technology

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Natural Gas
o 3. Bitcoin
o 4. Consumer Staples
o 5. Bonds
o Everything else was up.

- Nothing much to say. Crypto markets recovered on Trump backing down on the trade war with China, but it’s not over. Nothing changed except Trump is pretending that everything is over and hoping you don’t look under the hood to see that it’s all bullshit.

- Speaking of, the hostages were all released today in Gaza, and now the countdown has begun to see how long it will be until Israel violates the ceasefire. I am a bit surprised that it hasn’t happened already, frankly, but the ceasefire in January held for a month or two if you’ll recall, so we’ll see. Nobody actually believes the war is over, or that Trump will do anything when Israel inevitably violates the ceasefire. Where does Iran fit in? When will Israel attack Iran? Who knows? The countdown has begun, though now that the hostages are free. Israel isn’t going to allow Gaza to be rebuilt and the Palestinians to just go home and let bygones be bygones.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/idf-vows-destroy-all-hamas-terror-tunnels-part-disarming-gaza , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-urges-pardon-netanyahu-knesset-cigars-champagne-who-hell-cares

- Nothing else is happening. BRICS is reacting to the Regime’s latest provocations, but they’re still winning, so they can afford to be defensive. If Ukraine is given tomahawk missiles, Russia may not react by launching WW3 immediately if they can destroy them sufficiently with their air defenses and continue to win. Russia will only retaliate directly against NATO if it actually begins to be effective, which is doubtful. Iran isn’t going to preemptively attack Israel, so whether or not there is an Iran War 2 depends entirely on Israel.

- China isn’t going to take the Dutch seizing their property lying down. They don’t need the US or Europe, and they’re prepared to go “all the way” with a trade war if the Regime chooses to go that route, and China is holding all the cards. They can bring down the AI semiconductor supply chain crashing down, and end the Regime’s ability to produce missiles, which is the basis of their entire military doctrine. What will it take for the Regime to take the L?

- The bottom line is that those pouring back into crypto and stocks, thinking that the trade war with China was a big misunderstanding and it’s safe again, are very wrong, but the normies will wait until Trump tweets about it to react, and then blame everything on Trump. God, I hate normies.

Monkey’s Market Minute: October 13th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Trump cucked to China, cancelling his threats of 100+% tariffs, and the crypto market recovered significantly from what it lost, but it wasn’t just Trump backing down in record time. Trump almost crashed the market over the weekend and had to cuck out on Sunday to prevent a “Black Monday” tomorrow. China is holding all the cards, and the US can’t win a trade war, as it would instantly destroy the fragile market.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/markets-rebound-vance-plays-good-cop-says-willing-be-reasonable-china

- China “clarified” that their export controls on rare earths aren’t an export ban, but require exports to “meet regulations,” and that gave Trump an out to call his failed power play that crashed the market over the weekend “one big misunderstanding”.
source: https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1977370328591438192 , https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/sundayshows1012/card/china-defends-rare-earths-export-controls-MDU6XZfvVHIdOqFz53FC

- Despite the narrative that this was a “misunderstanding”, China just won the trade war for a third time in a row, causing Trump to back down over the weekend after he realized the carnage that would visit the markets if he didn’t walk everything back before the markets opened on Monday. China has the Regime by the balls economically. Will the Regime try this trick for an unbelievable fourth time after losing three times in a row? Probably.

- Crypto did very well over Sunday, not quite recovering everything it lost over the weekend, but regaining a significant amount. However, this could be premature because while the trade war is over (for now), the Chinese rare earth export controls do legitimately threaten the AI sector. After all, the semiconductor industry is dependent on China.

- In geopolitics, Trump is apparently going to give Ukraine Tomahawk missiles and instigate WW3 until Putin agrees to compromise and let the Regime win. I suggested Russia give Oreshniks to Iran unless Trump releases the Epstein files. The Regime is not going to cause a nuclear war; they’re just talking shit and testing BRICS, hoping that someone will cuck to them. I would be very surprised if Ukraine was actually given Tomahawks, because that would mean WW3. Trump talks a lot of shit and cucks every time. Ukraine may trigger WW3 in the sense that anything is possible, but realistically, this is just another example of the Regime bluffing, but it’s the 5th time they’ve done this. Nobody is going to cuck to them. It’s over.

- The bottom line is that the crash has been cancelled since Trump cucked, but that doesn’t mean the export controls aren’t significant. Nothing else is happening. The hostages haven’t been released yet, so Israel hasn’t done anything yet. None of this matters, though.
source: https://apnews.com/article/gaza-ceasefire-aid-hostages-prisoners-trump-f4cbb40cb80452f3138a1b6b3725af1d

Monkey’s Market Minute: October 10th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The AI Bubble has now officially become a banking crisis due to all the debt fueling the bubble, which is now the largest sector of the market. If any of this debt goes bad, it will bring down banks as well when these bad debts need to be rehypothecated.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ai-now-debt-bubble-quietly-surpassing-all-banks-become-largest-sector-market , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/creditors-bankrupt-first-brands-say-billions-simply-vanished-amid-debt-rehypothecation

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. The US Dollar
o 3. Consumer Staples
o 4. Crypto
o Everything else was down.

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. Gold
o 4. Materials
o 5. Brent Crude Oil
o 6. Energy
o 7. Industrials

- Between the First Brands bankruptcy, causing billions to ’vanish,' and the bailout of Argentina, the smell of financial crisis is in the air, so people are piling into cash for now, but they’ll run back to tech stock and crypto if the market doesn’t crash in a few days.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-and-precious-metals-fall-ath-territory-while-dollar-catches-bid-newsquawk-us-market

- In geopolitics, the first phase of the peace deal between Israel and Hamas has been reached, and the hostages are set to be released, after which Israel will break the ceasefire and begin killing everyone again. Netanyahu apparently told Putin to tell Iran that Israel doesn’t want to go to war with Iran after all, which is a complete lie. Do they really think they’ll lull Iran into a false sense of security with such an obvious deception, or is there more to the plan than simply to obviously lie and attack Iran? I’m half expecting a false flag, but we’ll see. Obviously, Israel can’t have peace because they haven’t really won anything yet, so this can’t be the end, or it’s the end of Israel.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-expected-israel-sunday-lightning-fast-visit-firm-gaza-peace-deal , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/gaza-ceasefire-takes-effect-hostage-releases-expected-within-days , https://amwaj.media/en/media-monitor/putin-conveys-israeli-disinterest-in-war-as-iran-russia-strategic-accord-enters-f , https://www.rt.com/russia/626159-israel-signal-iran-russia-putin/

- Meanwhile, the Regime is doubling down on its war against BRICS in the Americas, working on its strategy to overthrow Venuszeula and furthering an “ice breaker” deal with Finland to move towards securing Greenland and the Arctic against a future war with China. Colombia is siding with Venezuela, blaming the US for starting a war over false allegations of drug trafficking.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-working-strategy-eliminate-maduro , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-finland-strike-6-billion-icebreaker-deal , https://www.rt.com/news/626152-us-war-drugs-colombia/

- The main player in South America for BRICS is Brazil (the B in BRICS). Brazil blocked Venezuela from joining BRICS in 2024, but maybe the two countries will be pushed closer together, similarly to how Russia and China were pushed together due to the Ukraine War. Brazil has to know that they will be targeted for “regime-change” after Venezuela unless they leave BRICS and become a vassal of the Regime. It will be interesting to see how this plays out, and Venezuela will be the test to see how BRICS will respond to more American aggression.
source: https://thedialogue.org/analysis/why-relations-between-brazil-and-venezuela-have-sunk-to-new-lows , https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/9/8/brazils-lula-says-us-warships-in-caribbean-are-a-source-of , https://apnews.com/article/venezuela-maduro-brazil-lula-diplomatic-relations-election-4e59d9cb04e87bc6ba8b1c937d032056

- The bottom line is that I expect the Regime to implement bank bailouts in the near future, similar to what happened with Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, but this won’t pop the bubble. The market expects bailouts, which is why fundamentals don’t matter. Shitty fundamentals simply mean more bailouts and lower interest rates, so numbers keep going up. This is happening faster than I expected, so things could get spicy, especially with inflation heating back up. Despite the market fragility, I fully expect more wars in the near future with Iran and Venezuela. Ukraine will continue as well, if only to distract Russia and keep them busy. The Regime is already finished; they are just raging against the dying of the light at this point.

Monkey’s Market Minute: October 9th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Stocks gained today based on FOMC minutes from last month that showed the FED wanted to lower interest rates again later this year, as if the FED is going to raise rates at this point. If they were going to pump the brakes on rate cuts, they would have given Trump pushback last month. Now it’s too late, and the FED will be blamed for the resurging inflation, and there’s nothing they can do about it except embrace their destiny.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-catch-bid-while-gold-and-silver-hit-fresh-record-highs-newsquawk-us-market-wrap , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-gained-upside-led-tech-strength-while-fresh-record-highs-were-seen-sp-500-and-ndx , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fomc-30

- The AI has already shrugged off its crash the other day from Oracle, revealing that AI demand is falling, and they’re losing money on leasing AI server space. As long as the AI circle-jerk continues and the government is blessing the fraud, fundamentals don’t matter.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/its-correlation-stupid-bofa-fears-index-vol-fragility-any-shock , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/can-run-it-hot-strategy-cause-stocks-outperform-gold-1950s

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Crypto
o 2. Information Technology
o 3. Gold
o 4. Bitcoin
o 5. Industrials
o 6. Materials
o 7. Utilities

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Natural Gas
o 3. Real Estate
o 4. Consumer Staples
o 5. Financials
o 6. Energy
o 7. Communications Technology

- The AI bubble can’t be stopped, not with implied government bailouts in play now that the US government is buying a stake in the companies involved in the fraudulent circle-jerk. This will continue until it breaks, and when it breaks, it’s taking the whole damn system down with it.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/futures-rise-global-debasement-trade-sends-gold-over-4000

- In geopolitical news, Hamas and Israel have agreed to the first phase of the deal wherein Hamas lets the hostages go while Israel pinky-swears not to begin killing Palestinians again the nanosecond the hostages are safe. The Palestinians will get their optics victory when Israel inevitably violates the ceasefire, likely on the same day the hostages are released without even the common courtesy of a false-flag. They simply don’t care any longer. It don’t matter, none of this matters.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/progress-reported-gaza-peace-talks-trump-denies-telling-israeli-pm-not-be-fcking

- There’s nothing else going on geopolitically at the moment. War with Iran and Venezuela will likely happen later this year or early next year, but soon. The Regime is focused on sucking Israel’s dick at the moment, but once those Jewish balls are nice and drained, they’ll pretend to give a shit about their collapsing empire until Israel needs another polishing of their Iron Dome.

- The bottom line is that nothing happened today. The AI bubble will continue thanks to fraud and the government looking the other way. Israel will continue its genocide and war crimes as the government looks the other way. Iran and Venezuela will be attacked sooner rather than later, and the government hopes Russia and China will look the other way.

Monkey’s Market Minute: October 7th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Stocks broke new all-time high records as even more AI circle-jerk deals were announced using money that doesn’t exist, based on deals financed by more money that doesn’t exist. If the government weren’t part of the problem, there would 100% be investigations and regulatory crackdowns on this obvious fraud, but since the government is in on it, everyone is piling into the fraud.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-hit-7th-straight-record-high-ai-euphoria-pushes-semis-most-overbought-decade , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-rise-tech-led-gains-after-amdopenai-deal-newsquawk-us-market-wrap

- The VIX has been rising alongside the market for 6 days in a row, which has never happened in the history of the VIX. Everyone knows this is a bubble, but it just keeps growing.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-trader-creation-vix-1990-has-never-happened

- Japan’s stock market is rallying as Japan is expecting to abandon yield curve control and tank the Yen. The Japanese banks are out of foreign money as investors try to dump the Yen. This is also the death of the “carry trade,” where people were borrowing Yen to invest in US bonds risk-free and making easy money on the spread due to Japan keeping its interest rates low. However, this is really bad for the financial system, and this is all based on the new Prime Minister being elected, but I fully expect the US to squeeze the Japanese government and force them to back down and keep the party going.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/japan-hardline-conservative-takaichi-elected-party-leader-set-become-first-female-prime , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nikkei-225-rallied-jpy-fell-and-jgb-curve-steepened-takaichis-victory-newsquawk-european

- I’m seeing people pointing out that stocks and gold are hitting all-time highs while the dollar is falling as if the currency is on the verge of collapsing. We are years away from the dollar collapsing. The Yen and the Euro will collapse before the US dollar does. The stock market is only up due to the AI circle-jerk of imaginary money; otherwise, only gold would be making headlines.

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Crypto
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. Natural Gas
o 4. Gold
o 5. Brent Crude Oil
o 6. WTI Crude Oil
o 7. Utilities

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Bonds
o 3. Real Estate
o 4. Consumer Staples
o 5. Healthcare
o 6. Materials
o 7. Financials

- The reason the market is more confident in the bubble being supported by the government is that the US government bought a stake in Intel, and AMD just joined the AI circle-jerk, which means the US government is indirectly participating in the AI circle-jerk, which means that it’s taxpayer-backed. Heads you win, tails the taxpayers lose because there will be bailouts.
source: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/massive-news-intel-stock-investors-intel-could-potentially-add-amd-customer , https://www.intc.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1748/intel-and-trump-administration-reach-historic-agreement-to , https://mashable.com/article/openai-amd-computing-investment-chips

- Transitioning to geopolitics, but staying on the previous subject, China’s move to focus on DeepSeek’s low cost rather than trying to compete with the West with powerful models makes more sense given the current situation. The US is using infinite imaginary money to funnel everything into AI, and if China tried to compete, they would bankrupt themselves, so playing the long game and making a sustainable economic AI model rather than trying to out-spend the US makes a lot of sense. There’s no telling how long this bubble will go on, and it’s already bigger than the dotcom and housing bubble combined, so when it pops, it’s going to be Biblical.

- Nothing else to report in geopolitics. Hamas is expected to release all remaining hostages, after which Israel will not abide by whatever deal they work out and begin killing them again. The best Hamas can hope for is an optics victory. I don’t even think Trump will pretend to be mad at Netanyahu. He’ll laugh about how he fooled Hamas and what a great negotiator he is as he continues to support the genocide. Nobody is going to stop Israel because nobody wants to go to war with the US. Netanyahu even called Putin to make sure Russia wouldn’t interfere.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-warns-hamas-faces-complete-obliteration-deadline-looms-free-hostages , https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/putin-and-netanyahu-discuss-trumps-gaza-plan-irans-nuclear-program-in-phone-call/

- Trump is threatening Iran again, but that’s a fight for another day. Once the betrayal of Hamas is finalized, then Trump will turn his attention back to Iran.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-threatens-bomb-iran-again-says-hes-not-going-wait-so-long

- The bottom line is that everything is proceeding as I have foreseen. I’m a bit surprised that the AI circle jerk is this brazen, which means the day of the crash is closer than I thought, but who can say? The government is bankrolling it and turning a blind eye to the fraud, so this could go on for quite a while, or everything could crash this week. Bubbles are like that.

Monkey’s Market Minute: October 6th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Goldman Sachs and UBS are warning that inflation is “re-accelerating”, right on schedule.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-warned-first-now-ubs-sees-risk-us-economy-re-accelerating

- With the government shut down and no reports being published, don’t expect any major movement either way. People need to be told what to do because the market is fake and gay, and you can’t follow the fundamentals right now.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-chop-thin-trade-shutdown-prevents-payrolls-newsquawk-us-market-wrap

- The “subprime credit” market is cracking. If you don’t know what I’m talking about, it’s those “buy now, pay later” businesses that allow people to finance their DoorDash.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/huge-red-flag-chanos-joins-growing-crowd-questioning-subprime-credit-golden-age-fraud , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hartnett-subprime-consumer-credit-cracked , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/race-financial-dung-heap

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Bitcoin
o 2. Healthcare
o 3. Utilities
o 4. Gold
o 5. Crypto
o 6. Financials
o 7. Energy

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Consumer Discretionary
o 3. Communications Technology
o 4. Information Technology
o 5. Bonds
o 6. The US Dollar
o 7. Agriculture Commodities

- With the government shut down and investors unsure what the government-directed play with be, people are defaulting to defensive sectors like healthcare and utilities, or commodities and pseudo commodities like gold, energy, and crypto.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/bitcoin-pressure-valve-goldman-says-helicopter-money-back-and-flowing-straight-assets

- There isn’t anything worth talking about geopolitically. Hamas will free the remaining hostages soon and get nothing for it, but Israel temporarily stopped murdering people to finalize the deal. As soon as the hostages are released and secured, Israel will go back on any deal they make and begin killing everyone again.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-warns-hamas-faces-complete-obliteration-deadline-looms-free-hostages

- The bottom line is that there isn’t anything new that we haven’t talked about, but the government being shutdown is causing some defensive positioning in the market due to confusion about what the next move is, which makes sense because the government is driving the market, and now they’re shut down and that could mean that they could be unable to prop up the market for the next few weeks or months. We’ll have to wait and see. Regarding Israel, Hamas is in a no-win situation and is dead no matter what they do, but it changes nothing and doesn’t matter unless you’re Palestinian.

Monkey’s Market Minute: October 3rd, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The bubble keeps on bubbling. We’ve actually officially exceeded the housing bubble and the dotcom bubble. Everyone is pouring into AI to get a front row seat to the big pop.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-client-survey-finds-ai-fomo-charts-year-end-performance-panic , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-trader-says-something-very-strange-going-market , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-hit-record-highs-around-globe-ai-mania-hit-escape-velocity

- The government shutdown means there is no government labor data to counter the ADP data from the other day. No government means no government reports.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-were-choppy-government-shutdown-held-back-key-us-data-no-weekly-jobless-claims

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Crypto
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. The VIX
o 4. Materials
o 5. Information Technology
o 6. Bonds
o 7. Industrials

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. WTI Crude Oil
o 2. Brent Crude Oil
o 3. Natural Gas
o 4. Energy
o 5. Consumer Discretionary
o 6. Real Estate
o 7. Agriculture Commodities

- I’m not 100% sure why the markets are so hyped on a Thursday, other than that the ADP labor data means more rate cuts, and the government being shut down means no government data to contradict it.

- In geopolitics, it’s been revealed that Russia has deployed upgraded missiles that can evade Patriot air defenses, which means the Patriot is now completely useless, and if Russia has upgraded its missiles to evade Patriots, you can bet China and Iran have the same upgrades as well. The Patriot is the best air defense system in the Regime’s arsenal. There is no alternative system that the Regime can deploy to counter Russia and its friends. This is why I predict Iran is going to be a testing ground for Russian and Chinese missile technology. BRICS knows that the Regime will deploy its best weapons and defenses to Israel, so what better testing ground than Iran? Even if the missiles are intercepted by some new prototype system, you’re gathering intelligence in real time with zero risk to any Russian or Chinese lives against the absolute best weapons your chief rival has to offer. It’s a can’t lose proposition.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-has-upgraded-missiles-successfully-evade-ukraines-patriots , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/putin-all-nato-countries-are-fighting-us-while-eu-leaders-whip-hysteria

- No updates regarding Israel at this time. They stopped Greta Thunberg’s Gaza Flotilla again, and there was a Muslim attack on a Jewish synagogue in the UK, but these changes mean nothing. Jews are buying media companies and bribing influencers to try to regain control of the narrative, but I think it’s too late for that. That might work against boomers who get all their news from Fox News, but Zoomers know how the internet works, and even if you buy TikTok, the internet is infinite, and the more you ban it, the more you make antisemitism “cool”.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/gaza-flotilla-passengers-escorted-israel-face-deportation , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/manchester-synagogue-attack-leaves-2-dead-several-wounded-judaisms-holiest-day , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/israel-paying-us-social-media-influencers-7000-post-right-wing-support-craters

- In Chinese news, the US Commerce Department declared China’s Deepseek model “unsafe and unreliable” based on a study. This is because the Chinese model doesn’t contain all the filters and guardrails that Western models contain, and are thus easy to “jailbreak”, which makes me wonder how much of the cost of AI in the West is simply due to all the woke filters and guardrails preventing the AI from going full Tay. Since Deepseek 3’s priority is lowering cost, it makes sense to remove these costly “guardrails”, but the Deepseek 3 model appears to be less powerful than their previous version, in a move similar to OpenAI AI, which prioritized economy rather than power. It makes sense, but it looks like China is still playing the long game and not going for the killing stroke against Western AI that I was hoping for. A bit disappointing.
source: https://www.techrepublic.com/article/news-deepseek-security-gaps-caisi-study/ , https://venturebeat.com/ai/deepseeks-new-v3-2-exp-model-cuts-api-pricing-in-half-to-less-than-3-cents , https://techcrunch.com/2025/09/29/deepseek-releases-sparse-attention-model-that-cuts-api-costs-in-half/

- The bottom line is that nothing is happening. I’m disappointed that DeepSeek is playing the long game, and it looks like the only thing that might happen of consequence is if Israel attacks Iran. Nothing else is happening worth mentioning. The markets are going all-in on the AI bubble, and with the government supporting the bubble, I don’t expect it to pop for the rest of 2025. Maybe if DeepSeek were more powerful and less economical, it might have popped the bubble, but with DeepSeek disappointing, 2025 is going to keep bubbling, and 2026 is an election year, so I expect things to continue until some outside event triggers a crash. I was hoping for China attacking the AI sector, but with that not happening for now, we’ll see if Israel attacks Iran and triggers something more global, but I doubt it.

Monkey’s Market Minute: October 2nd, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Stocks soared to new highs based on the shitty jobs numbers because that means more rate cuts, which is bullish for stock prices. The government shutdown is stealing the spotlight and being ironically credited for the new stock market highs, but it’s 100% the shitty jobs numbers because it means rate cuts. The government shutdown is actually not good for stocks in general, but it’s unclear how long it will last, and Republicans always cuck on these sorts of things and nothing happens, so it's not worth getting worked up over.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-celebrate-government-shutdown-surging-new-record-high , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-and-bonds-bid-traders-boost-rate-cut-bets-after-weak-adp-newsquawk-us-market-wrap , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/do-stocks-always-go-during-government-shutdowns

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Healthcare
o 3. Bitcoin
o 4. Consumer Discretionary
o 5. Information Technology
o 6. Utilities
o 7. Crypto

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Communications Technology
o 2. Brent Crude Oil
o 3. Financials
o 4. WTI Crude Oil
o 5. Materials
o 6. Consumer Staples
o 7. Industrials

- There isn’t anything new to talk about geopolitically that we didn’t already cover during the show earlier. The only situation that’s evolving is Israel/Gaza, but it doesn’t matter and changes nothing. Maybe I’ll have some updates to share tomorrow.

- The bottom line is that I’ll be watching how the wars move forward during the government shutdown and how this affects things, but so far, nothing has changed or seems likely to change meaningfully.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 30th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Firstly, more people are warning that China is going to win the AI race, and that spells doom for the AI bubble that’s propping up the US economy and the empire, but in the meantime, all the tech stocks are gaining with no end in sight because fundamentals don’t matter until they do.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/ai/major-geopolitical-issue-eric-schmidt-warns-majority-world-will-choose-chinas-open-ai-over

- Deepseek version 3 launched today. Did you even know? This is an “intermediate” model as DeepSeek admits that they are overhauling everything for the next generation of AI, but it’s crazy how they went from releasing DeepSeek 3 in April, to delaying the release due to having to swap out NVIDIA for Huawei, and then quietly drops DeepSeek V3 at the end of September without a peep in the media about it.
source: https://seekingalpha.com/news/4499862-deepseek-launches-experimental-model-more-efficient-at-handling-long-text-scenarios , https://www.reuters.com/technology/deepseek-releases-model-it-calls-intermediate-step-towards-next-generation-2025-09-29/ , https://techstory.in/huawei-uses-its-own-chips-to-retrain-deepseek-and-align-output-with-beijings-standards/ , https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/china-s-deepseek-unveils-new-ai-model-that-could-halve-usage-cost/ar-AA1NzoMC

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. Crypto
o 4. Natural Gas
o 5. Gold
o 6. Bonds
o 7. Information Technology

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. WTI Crude Oil
o 2. Brent Crude Oil
o 3. Energy
o 4. Agriculture Commodities
o 5. The US Dollar
o Everything else was up.

- It wouldn’t surprise me at all if 24 hours from now, the markets freak out about DeepSeek. You notice a pattern after a while, where something happens, but the market doesn’t respond for about 24 hours. This allows the “smart money” to exit their positions and sell their bags to the normies. The next day, the media alerts the normies, who panic and sell, losing everything. You’ll see this play out again and again because the normies don’t know what’s going on until the media tells them what to do.

- In geopolitics, everything is about Israel. Trump unveiled his final “deal” for Hamas to give up all the hostages they still have for the pinky-promise Israel will (mostly) withdraw from Gaza, and if Hamas doesn’t take the deal, Trump will allow Israel to “finish the job” and presumably genocide the remaining Palestinians. Meanwhile, the Houthis hit a Dutch cargo ship, which burst into flames, but it isn’t confirmed to have sunk.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/everybody-wants-deal-trump-presses-netanyahu-gaza-peace-4th-wh-visit , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/dutch-cargo-ship-attacked-set-ablaze-yemen-coast

- Here is an article from zerohedge assessing the reports of Ukraine preparing a false flag attack against NATO to escalate the war with Russia, which we talked about yesterday, but the fact that Russia got ahead of the plot means that it’s unlikely to move forward. JD Vance is talking about “selling” Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, which will allow them to attack Moscow and trigger WW3, but that’s precisely why this is coming from JD Vance, because it’s bullshit.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/assessing-reports-ukraine-preparing-false-flag-drone-provocation-against-nato , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-looking-selling-tomahawk-missiles-ukraine-jd-vance-says

- I’m keeping an eye on Iran, and they are warning that “the moment Israel starts a war, we will also enter a war with the United States,” according to a former IRGC commander. There are also Iranian illegal aliens being deported back to Iran, but that’s about it for Iran in the news, other than sanctions that mean nothing.
source: https://www.newsweek.com/iran-sends-new-warning-war-with-the-united-states-10796599 , https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/us-returning-planeload-of-iranian-immigrants-in-coordination-with-tehran-report/ , https://edition.cnn.com/2025/09/27/middleeast/iran-snapback-nuclear-sanctions-intl

- Regarding the possible false flag, we’ll have to see how this ultimatum with the Palestinians goes. I was expecting the false flag to be related to Iran, but maybe it will be related to Hamas to justify Israel’s genocide. We’ll see. All of this doesn’t change anything, regardless. Israel is trying to do damage control on their image by hiring influencers and taking over TikTok to “shut it down”, but nothing will change what’s going to happen.

- The bottom line is that I fully expect DeepSeek 3’s launch to affect markets once the “smart money” has a day to move their money before the media lets the normies know about it. Other than that, let’s see if Hamas cucks and if this false flag attack happens. Other than that, nothing is happening, and that which is or might happen doesn’t even matter. What happens in Gaza doesn’t matter in the war between the Regime and BRICS. The fact that we’re sacrificing everything for Israel is the smoking gun proof that ZOG is real, but it doesn’t matter. The war is already over.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 29th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Since I couldn’t do a show on Saturday due to my ISP crashing my upload speed, making it impossible to stream, I’ll talk about what I was going to talk about on the show here in this newsletter.

- The main thing that I want to warn you about is that there will likely be a false flag attack very soon, possibly this coming week. My gut says Iran, but I’ve heard some evidence that it may be Russia. The reasons for an Iranian false flag are obvious since Israel is involved. The Russian false flag would allow the Regime to escalate to the threat of nuclear war to (hopefully) force Russia and China to either cuck and let them win, or call their bluff one final time. BRICS isn’t going to cuck, and if the Regime wanted WW3 they would have attacked Russia by now rather than try to concoct a false flag to threaten to do so, so my gut says the false flag will involve Iran. This is what the big meeting with all the Generals was about, and why Netanyahu is on a media blitz. The Jews acquired TikTok, so they are confident there are no social media outlets to break their gaslighting this time.
source: https://www.devdiscourse.com/article/international/3645141-alleged-false-flag-operation-ukraines-controversial-plan-and-ww3-fears?amp , https://militarnyi.com/en/news/russia-and-hungary-launch-disinformation-to-justify-drone-strikes-on-targets-in-romania-and-poland/ , https://responsiblestatecraft.org/tiktok-larry-ellison-israel/ , https://www.iranintl.com/en/202509280080

- In the markets, more and more people are acknowledging that we’re in a bubble and that the markets make no sense given the fundamentals, but with the government manipulating the markets and faking the government reports, I don’t see a crash coming any time soon. Goldman Sachs is predicting bullish markets through the rest of 2025, and next year is an election year, so I expect 2026 to be more of the same. Trump had the chance to stop the manipulation and be the adult in the room, but he chose to drive the economy all the way to the scene of the crash.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/markets-detached-economic-fundamentals , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-warns-risk-us-economic-re-acceleration-rising , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/shutdown-risk-clouds-near-term-risk-goldman-macro-trader-says-structural-message-goldilocks , https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/it-too-early-start-talking-about-year-end-melt

- Bitcoin was up through Sunday, recovering from a fall late last week as investors swapped over to gold as they chased momentum. However, the dip buyers are here, and the bubble keeps on bubbling.
source: https://news.bitcoin.com/bitcoin-price-watch-price-teeters-at-109k-breakout-or-breakdown-ahead/ , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-surge-dip-buyers-emerge-silver-soars-11-year-high

- In geopolitics, the US is preparing drones to attack targets inside Venezuela, presumably to fight drug cartels, but again, this war has nothing to do with drugs and everything to do with BRICS. These drone attacks will be a test to see how China and Russia react. Will they get involved and defend Venezuela, or will they let the Regime bully Venezuela to avoid a conflict with the US?
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-preparing-possible-drone-strikes-drug-cartels-inside-venezuela , https://english.elpais.com/international/2025-09-18/venezuela-expands-ties-with-russia-amid-escalating-tensions-with-the-united-states.html

- Finally, there is a rumor that China is preparing to give trade concessions to Trump in exchange for Trump ending support for Taiwanese independence, effectively winning the war for Taiwan without firing a shot, but China should demand assurances because the US is not to be trusted. Remember the Minsk agreement. Remember the Iran negotiations that were used as a ruse for an assassination strike. Don’t give anything to the US in exchange for easily broken promises without hard assurances and the abandonment of US militarization along China’s borders, not merely a pinky-promise to (temporarily) not support Taiwan independence.
source: https://www.timesnownews.com/world/asia/xi-jinping-donald-trump-us-china-taiwan-independence-article-152911073 , https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/soybean-farmers-caught-looming-crisis-us-trade-war/story?id=125943171

- The bottom line is that I’m expecting something to happen soon to escalate the wars we’re losing. Will it be Russia, Iran, or maybe it’s Venezuela or China? We have so many wars to choose from. Provoking Russia and hoping they’ll cuck won’t work, so my gut still says that this will involve Iran. Regarding markets, fundamentals don’t matter un til they do. The government can prop up the markets until they can’t. The market will go up forever until it crashes. I don’t believe in playing in a rigged casino, but you do you, brah.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 26th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Q2 GSP was revised higher because the economy is even more awesome than the government originally reported, and this is a bad thing because it means the FED might not cut rates going forward. After all, the economy is so awesome. Remember last week when the government admitted it lied about job growth for a year? Me neither!
source: https://www.deseret.com/business/2025/09/25/gdp-us-economy-consumer-spending-inflation-interest-rates-jobs-tariffs/ , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/q2-gdp-revised-sharply-higher-38-best-quarter-two-years , https://seekingalpha.com/news/4493395-us-jobs-gains-weaker-by-911k-in-year-through-march-bls-revision-show

- So what does this mean? Why play with the numbers even more brazenly? It’s most likely related to the wars that we can’t afford, but maybe if we lie about how fucked we are, we can justify expanding the wars and maybe fighting another 2 or 3 wars at once. The economy is doing great, right? We’ve got infinite money to fight infinite wars, right?

- Here’s an interesting article confirming what I’ve been saying regarding AI. AI is a tool that is replacing relatively few jobs. It’s transforming work, allowing people to do more work in some areas (eliminating jobs) but creating new jobs elsewhere. This is how all automation has worked since computers were first invested in the 70s. Human wants and desires are infinite, so any freed-up labor resources will be redirected into other products or services, usually ones related to leisure, entertainment, etc., which are more desirable jobs anyway. The problem with the economy has nothing to do with AI automating jobs, and everything to do with the government, both in spending too much money and causing inflation, and flooding the country with foreigners to prevent wage increases in a misguided MMT scheme to fight the inflation they’re causing by spending too much money.
source: https://www.zdnet.com/article/ai-will-transform-work-more-than-replace-jobs-study-finds/

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Natural Gas
o 3. Energy
o 4. WTI Crude Oil
o 5. Brent Crude Oil
o 6. The US Dollar
o 7. Broad Commodities

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Crypto
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. Healthcare
o 4. Consumer Discretionary
o 5. Materials
o 6. Utilities
o 7. Industrials

- You might be curious why the markets fell today on good news, but it’s because the bubble is maintained by the fact that the economy is shit, inflation is hot, and everyone is pouring into tech stock and crypto to stay ahead of it because everything is dogshit. A narrative of a healthy economy could derail interest rate cuts, that’s all. The markets are pricing in the market manipulation, but Trump’s ego and need to avoid admitting the economy is shit is a threat to their investments.

- In geopolitics, there was a massive emergency meeting of all generals and admirals. There is going to be an escalation soon, and my guess is that it’s Iran. Why Iran and not Russia? Because Israel needs to regain momentum. Several European countries have recognized Palestine as a state. Marco Rubio is blaming the influx of Muslim immigrants into Europe for this, but also, Trump suddenly came out strongly against Israel annexing the West Bank, which the US supported the other week. Why is Trump suddenly standing up to Israel, and why is Europe suddenly recognizing Palestine and defending the Gaza aid ships? Isn’t this all a bit too sudden and convenient?
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/hegseth-abruptly-summons-all-generals-admirals-across-globe-quantico-meeting , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/rubio-says-high-migration-numbers-creating-local-pressure-recognize-palestine , https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/24/world/italy-gaza-aid-flotilla-latam-intl , https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/25/world/middleeast/trump-annexation-west-bank.html

- So, let’s think about this. Does anyone really think Europe and Trump are turning against Israel all at the same time for literally no reason? Are you already lining up for your “Fell For It Again” award? What’s going on? This is speculation, but consider how Israel is not in a strong position, having lost their war against Iran the first time. They have to make a comeback from behind, but they’ve already burned through most of their best weapons, and Iran and Russia don’t trust Israel (or America, for that matter) at all, so how can Israel be extra sneaky and pull off a come-from-behind victory against an enemy expecting their tricks? They are going to use this sudden change of heart in Europe and Trump to call for another round of peace talks to lure Iran into the open for another “decapitation strike”. Sure, America tried to kill you last time, but now the Europeans and Trump are standing up to Israel, and you can trust them this time, you guys. I also wouldn’t be surprised if ISIS suddenly started committing Muslim terrorism in Europe to punish Europeans for supporting Palestinians and to make Europeans realize that Israel is #OurNazis, and that by killing them over there, they’re protecting Europe from Islamic terror. This is all speculation again, but whether it’s another round of fake peace talks to set Iran up for another assassination attempt, or a false flag ISIS attack, those possibilities are infinitely more likely than Europe and Trump actually doing anything against Israel.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/migration-leads-terrorism-says-hungarys-foreign-minister , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-rapidly-rebuilding-missile-production-sites-struck-israel , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/massive-pro-palestine-protests-rock-italy-60-officers-injured

- At least with Israel up to something, I’m not bored anymore. I’m genuinely curious what plan the cunning cunts cook up this time. It won’t change anything, and I don’t think Russia and Iran will fall for it, but let’s watch things play out and see what happens together.

- The bottom line is that today’s news has a common theme. These people believe that controlling the narrative changes reality. If Trump just lies about the economy hard enough, the economy will never crash. If the Regime plays a little kayfabe bullshit game, Iran and Russia will buy it, and they’ll be able to assassinate the leaders of Iran and destroy Israel’s biggest threat in the region. This is all predicated on the belief that they can propaganda their way to victory despite the realities on the battlefield (or the economy, for that matter).

- I don’t have any data to prove one way or the other, but I wonder how many people on the Alt-Right who are die-hard JQers are falling for the kayfabe and think that Europe and Trump are suddenly turning against Israel. If these hardened anti-Semites are so easily fooled by Jewish tricks, perhaps they’ll work on Iran and Russia as well.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 25th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Due to rates being cut, the market has begun a sector rotation into real-estate and financials. However, the market is still in a bubble. It never crashed, but they’re treating rates going down as a recovery phase. It’s probably algo-bots, but it’s understandable since we haven’t had stagflation since the 70s and the whole market is fake and gay.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/money-flowing-us-financial-stocks , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ugly-5y-auction-tails-foreign-demand-shrinks , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/focus-right-tail-citadel-macro-guru-says-fed-green-light-risk-rest-year , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/new-home-sales-exploded-higher-august-prices-rose

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. WTI Crude Oil
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. Brent Crude Oil
o 4. Energy
o 5. Crypto
o 6. The US Dollar
o 7. Consumer Discretionary

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Real-Estate
o 3. Gold
o 4. Information Technology
o 5. Communications Technology
o 6. Industrials
o 7. Bonds

- The markets don’t know how to handle stagflation. They’re investing all over the place because the government is pre-emptively bailing out the markets with lower interest rates while the bubble is still bubbling. Crazy times.

- In geopolitics, Russia is mocking Trump’s flip-flopping on Ukraine, Europe isn’t buying American weapons to send to Ukraine, and the Houthis hit Israel with a drone, bypassing their air defenses, and killing 20 people. Womp womp.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/houthi-drone-slams-hotel-southern-israel-wounding-over-20 , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/eu-wont-be-able-keep-its-promise-buy-vast-amounts-us-weapons , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-mocks-trumps-paper-tiger-remark-says-ukraine-cannot-take-back-territory , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/five-most-likely-motives-behind-trumps-flip-flop-ukraine

- Also, US officials are finally admitting that their bullying on Venezuela has nothing to do with drugs. They want Regime change because they want to replace the pro-BRICS government with a puppet that they can control. See? Doesn’t it feel good to tell the truth?
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/goal-regime-change-venezuela-us-officials-say

- The bottom line is that nothing new is happening. We’re just watching the Regime slowly collapse under the weight of its own arrogance and stupidity.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 23rd, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Another day, more warnings that we’re in a bubble, but the market is not crashing yet. There isn’t anything to say that hasn’t already been said. It’ll happen when it happens.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-top-tech-trader-nasdaq-12-14-days-so-much-those-seasonality-concerns , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/investor-euphoria-and-anatomy-market-crash , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-closed-higher-monday-nvidiaopenai-boosting-sentiment-newsquawk-asia-pac-market , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gold-soars-fresh-record-inflows-gold-etfs-hit-3-year-high
- https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nvida-stock-surges-after-announcing-100-billion-openai-investment

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Gold
o 3. Information Technology
o 4. Crypto
o 5. Utilities
o 6. S&P 500 Index
o 7. Industrials

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. Consumer Staples
o 4. Bonds
o 5. Communications Technology
o 6. The US Dollar
o 7. Consumer Discretionary

- There is some evidence that investors are rotating from Bitcoin to Gold since the rate cuts happened and Bitcoin didn’t break to fresh highs, and in the game of speculative manias, without interest, dividends, or cashflows, Bitcoin has to keep going up or it will crash since it does nothing. Is this the beginning of a trend? We’ll see.

- In geopolitics, and I debated whether to include this in the market analysis section or here, Argentina has received a lifeline from the Trump administration, which means two things to me: Argentina’s loyalty to the US and hatred of China and BRICS is being rewarded despite Argentina not having the swap line privileges of Europe, and the second thing this tells me is that the Regime is taking the struggle against BRICS in South America seriously. If Trump allowed Argentina to fail, the US would be seen as a poor economic ally, and BRICS could fill the vacuum, but the US is offering Argentina a credit line similar to what Europe has, which is good for Argentina.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/argentine-assets-soar-bessent-offers-milei-lifeline

- Russia is trying to get the US to agree to new nuclear control treaties to prevent a nuclear arms race. For context, I was America that broke the treaties because they felt that since the Soviet Union collapsed, these treaties were holding America back from using its nuclear arsenal to control the world. Russia and China do not want WW3 or a nuclear arms race, but similarly to how Trump can’t get Putin to compromise regarding the Ukraine War because Russia won and Trump has no leverage, the nuclear control issue is an issue where BRICS has no leverage over the Regime. The Regime HAS threatened to escalate to nuclear war several times, which is incredibly dangerous, and while they’ve backed off in the past, this is a dangerous game, and Russia and China have no leverage over the US to make them stop.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/putin-offers-us-temporary-nuclear-arms-control-deal-prevent-new-arms-race

- If I were BRICS, I would use Iran to force the US to agree to a nuclear control treaty. If the US doesn’t agree, then Iran will have nuclear weapons and Israel will be under threat, and we all know Trump would do anything for Israel. If the US agrees to a new treaty and to temper its warmongering, Russia and China will cooperate with relevant international bodies to disarm Iran’s nuclear program and prevent a regional arms race. There is evidence that this is what is happening as Iran kicked the IAEA out of Iran again, despite Russia wanting Iran to cooperate with them for its sake. Iran wouldn’t defy Russia for no reason, so I guess that Russia is hoping to use Iran’s nuclear program as a bargaining chip to get the US to agree to new nuclear arms control treaties and remove the threat of nuclear war, which is the only threat BRICS fears at this point.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/putin-offers-us-temporary-nuclear-arms-control-deal-prevent-new-arms-race , https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/we-cannot-afford-another-crisis-iaea-head-says-as-iran-suspends-cooperation , https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/iaea-says-iran-nuclear-diplomacy-165533419.html

- So the bottom line is that nothing is happening in the markets; it’s just more stagflation positioning. Shockingly, a tiny interest rate cut did not, in fact, cause the economy to explode with prosperity, and everything is still dogshit. I know you’re as surprised as I am. Regarding the geopolitical situation, Russia is extending its international influence and not just focusing on Ukraine. Putin gave Trump a chance to make peace, but it was a ruse, and Russia is not going to keep wasting its time on false promises of peace. How will Russia get involved regarding Iran and Venezuela, and how will that unfold? Like I keep saying, though, there is no combination of moves the Regime can do to win; they’re done. This is Russia and China’s game to win. They simply want to avoid nuclear war with the US as they run out the clock until the US economy crashes.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 22nd, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Market analysts everywhere are openly admitting that the stock market is in a bubble, but are still going to trade it anyway because with the dollar losing value due to low interest rates and money printing, you have to put your money somewhere, right? I don’t believe in trading bubbles, but other asset managers don’t have a choice. They HAVE to perform every quarter or they lose their job, so they’re going to try to time the market and hope for the best.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hartnett-fed-cutting-gold-crypto-and-stocks-all-time-highs-so-heres-how-you-trade-bubble , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-trader-theres-sense-money-losing-value-anyway-so-best-use-it-now-hold-it , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/market-where-youve-been-paid-be-irresponsibly-bullish-top-goldman-trader-sees-more-gas-tank

- Argentina is having financial problems, MAJOR financial problems. “But wait,” I hear you say, “didn’t Milei fix Argentina’s economy using libertarianism?” Yes, his libertarian agenda did halt inflation and get the economy back on track. His fuck up with having a boner for the US and begging to use the dollar as a reserve to stabilize the Argentinian peso. What happened? Argentina ran out of dollars, and they’re in too much debt after signing a $20B IMF deal in April. Melei didn’t do anything wrong per se, except for having a hate boner for China and BRICS for no reason and sucking up to the US at the worst possible time. By making his economy dependent on the US, he played himself, and will likely be cannibalized along with Japan and Europe. It’s worse for Argentina because they don’t have the off-the-book-swap lines with the Federal Reserve to get all the dollars they need like Europe does, so they’re totally fucked. It’s sad to see a decently libertarian government fail due to outdated ideological reasons.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/milei-admits-market-panic-mode-argentine-capital-exodus-accelerates

- The SEC supports Trump’s plan to move corporate financial reporting from quarterly (4 times a year) to semi-annually (twice a year). This serves no purpose other than to prevent the markets from panicking for an additional 3 months, since the corporations will only admit their shitty fundamentals twice a year instead of four times a year. This is bad for those who want to invest in more than vibes and bullshit, but it’s good if you’re the government and trying to prop up a market bubble for as long as possible. There is no telling how long this lasts. It could crash at any time for innumerable reasons, such is the nature of bubbles. I’m keeping an eye on China, since they have the means and the will to deliberately crash the US market for their own national security reasons.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/sec-backs-trumps-proposal-shift-earnings-reports-quarterly-semiannual , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/last-bubble

- For what it’s worth, Bitcoin lost money over Sunday, which could mean normies may be bearish on Monday when the markets open.

- In geopolitics, much to my surprise, Canada, the UK, Australia, and Portugal recognized Palestine, causing Marco Rubio to threaten them with consequences. Netanyahu is vowing that there will never be a Palestinian state and that they’re going to destroy and annex Palestine. I genuinely figured all these Western countries would just ignore and memory-hole the Palestinian thing. So what’s the angle here? My best guess is that Europe is mad that Trump is abandoning Ukraine for Israel, and they want the US to refocus on fighting Russia and salvaging the Ukraine war instead of starting new wars with Iran and talking about going back to Afghanistan to retake Bagram airbase from the Taliban.
source: https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/21/world/palestinian-state-uk-canada-australia-intl , https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2025/9/21/israel-bristles-as-uk-leads-western-recognition-of-palestine

- Another alternative explanation that doesn’t involve Ukraine is that Israel needs an excuse to annex the West Bank, since the West Bank has nothing to do with Hamas or any hostages. The answer to this is to use Western recognition of Palestine to annex the West Bank entirely so that there is no Palestine to recognize. Israel didn’t WANT to annex the West Bank, but these Western countries forced its hand by supporting the existence of a Palestinian state, so they HAD to annex all the Palestinian land, even the parts that didn’t do anything to justify it.
source: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/ben-gvir-says-he-will-propose-immediate-west-bank-annexation-in-response-to-western-recognition-of-palestine/

- In the end, whatever happens to Palestine doesn’t matter in the grand scheme of things. The big players that matter are the United States, Russia, and China. Israel is important insofar as it controls the United States through bribery and blackmail, but geopolitically, it’s on par with Iran as a regional power that doesn’t matter globally. I’ll keep an eye on what’s going on, but it won’t change anything regardless of the outcome and the details.

- The bottom line is that, as far as the markets go, nothing has changed, and the fact that the normie media is openly calling this a bubble is really bad. Again, there’s no telling when the crash happens and what the trigger is, but I guess that it will involve China and them drinking the milkshake of the Western AI sector that’s propping everything up. Geopolitically, nothing is happening other than Israel being Israel. I do predict Israel will successfully annex all of Palestine and send the Palestinians to Europe as refugees, and they may annex southern Lebanon as well, but that’s about it. They aren’t going to defeat Iran or establish Greater Israel; that ended when they lost to Iran the first time.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 19th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Stocks broke higher because now the rate cut that happened a few days ago is a good thing, when yesterday it was a bad thing.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/look-stocks-explode-higher-jpmorgan-trading-desk-says-dovish-cut-we-were-looking , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-dling-while-rome-churns

- These AI and tech companies have started investing phantom money in each other to drive their stock prices up rather than to buy their own stocks via stock buybacks. It’s complicated, but basically, company A announces an investment in company B with money they don’t have, but this announcement drives the stock of company B higher, which gives them the money after the fact. Company B does the same for company A, so all of these companies are investing in each other using money that doesn’t exist to drive each other’s stocks higher.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/intel-shares-erupt-nvidia-deal-us-governments-stake-already-paying-dividends , https://x.com/GeorgeGammon/status/1968737293776093653

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Crypto
o 2. Information Technology
o 3. Bitcoin
o 4. Industrials
o 5. Healthcare
o 6. The US Dollar
o 7. S&P 500 Index

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Bonds
o 3. Consumer Staples
o 4. Brent Crude Oil
o 5. Broad Commodities
o 6. Gold
o 7. WTI Crude Oil

- It’s quite funny how the markets were scared of the rate cut being a bad thing 24 hours ago, and now they’re excited and bullish when literally nothing changed.

- In geopolitics, there isn’t much to talk about, but Trump made a statement about the US returning to Afghanistan and starting another war with the Taliban. Supposedly, it isn’t about 9/11 or anything, but Trump wants the bases back that the US built in Afghanistan to have closer access to China. There is no way in hell the Taliban will open up diplomatic ties with the US, and sanctions won’t mean shit to them, so I think Trump is just talking shit, but maybe he’s dumb enough to start another war to distract everyone from all the wars he’s losing.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-seeking-regain-control-bagram-air-base-taliban-controlled-afghanistan-trump

- Speaking of talking shit, the Regime is claiming Russia is losing the war and could collapse if not for its support from China. We deserve better psyops. This is just lazy and sad.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/wed-kick-russias-ass-trumps-special-envoy-ukraine-says-moscow-losing-war-would , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-repeatedly-says-putin-let-me-down-during-uk-state-visit

- The bottom line is that I’m even more convinced that the market is going to continue to be propped up for the foreseeable future. The markets are clearly in a bubble, and the economy is clearly not doing well, but I fully expect higher stock prices, at least for the next 6 months or so. Just like with Ukraine, Israel, and everything else, the government is going to have to be defeated by BRICS on the battlefield, as they will never do the smart thing and quit while they’re behind. China will have to defeat the Regime by winning the AI war and crashing the markets, causing dedollarization, and collapsing the Western war machine through bankruptcy. This is more or less how the war with BRICS will end. It’s just annoying because unless you want to invest in bubbles, we’re all paying the price.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 18th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The FED cut interest rates by 0.25% as expected, and suddenly we’ve entered “nightmare territory”. What? This is what YOU wanted!
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/jerome-powells-fed-enters-nightmare-territory , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fomc-29

- Now that the rate cuts are priced in, what’s driving the AI bubble higher? Nothing. Now the markets are hitting resistance (i.e., the number does not go up), and investors are worried the market will pull back as there is no longer a catalyst for further growth.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/roaring-russell-hits-resistance , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ai-momentum-trade-getting-very-crowded-top-goldman-traders-warn

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Financials
o 2. Consumer Staples
o 3. Crypto
o 4. The US Dollar
o 5. Utilities
o 6. Healthcare
o 7. Energy

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Agriculture Commodities
o 3. Broad Commodities
o 4. Bitcoin
o 5. Brent Crude Oil
o 6. WTI Crude Oil
o 7. Natural Gas

- With interest rates being cut, the algo-bots are interpreting this as stimulus/expansion and not stagflation. We haven’t had stagflation since the 70s, long before these computer programs existed, so they have no modern data to work with.

- Nothing to talk about in geopolitics. Israel is still doing its thing, and Russia is still doing its thing. Nothing to report in terms of updates.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/explosive-laden-robots-pour-gaza-city-more-devastating-air-strikes , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/israel-arming-bankrolling-druze-fighters-southern-syria , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/eu-proposes-freezing-israel-trade-pact-over-gaza-smotrich-declares-gaza-real-estate , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/putin-boasts-100000-troops-are-participating-belarus-russia-drills

- The bottom line is everything is happening just as I said it would, just REEEEAAAAALLLY slowly and boringly. The inflation will begin being felt by consumers around October/November, and the labor market will still be dogshit heading into 2026 as we officially enter stagflation, unless Trump manipulates the numbers to cover up the stagflation, but it doesn’t matter if the government officially admits it or not, the result will be the same.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 16th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Zerohedge has an article about the “great market paradox” wherein there are “growing signs of weakness” in the economy, but the markets keep hitting new all time highs. It’s quite the paradox isn’t it? No, not really. The shitty economic indicators are fueling hype for rate cuts, which investors hope will push more money into stocks and crypto as a hedge against inflation since bonds and cash will return less, that’s all. Normally commodities would be the better hedge against inflation since that’s literally the job of the futures market, but the government broke the futures market years ago. Investors are trying to get ahead of the government-caused stagflation, and because the government has broken the markets, the only sectors that are attracting investment are the most risky and speculative tech sector. This is all a government caused disaster waiting to happen because the government won’t cut spending or end any of its disastrous wars. Gold is hitting new highs as well, which is entirely expected.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/explaining-great-market-paradox , https://www.zerohedge.com/market-recaps/gold-soars-new-record-high-ahead-fed-bonds-stocks-bid

- The Regime is still trying to outmaneuver China in its ongoing trade war (that China is winning), by pressuring Canada and NATO countries to impose tariffs on China. Let’s look at China’s largest trading partners and see where Canada and NATO fit in, remembering that China won the trade war against the US the last two times because China replaced its trade with the US quite easily.
o 1. USA
o 2. South Korea
o 3. Japan
o 4. Taiwan
o 5. Vietnam
o 6. Russia
o 7. Australia
o 8. Malaysia
o 9. Germany
o 10. Brazil
o 11. Indonesia
o 12. India
o 13. Thailand
o 14. Singapore
o 15. Netherlands
o 16. UK
o 17: Canada
o 18. France
o 19. Italy
o 20. Philippines

As you can see, Aside from the US, the biggest western trading partner to China is Australia, which is heavily dependent on trade with China and won’t be joining a trade war. Canada is 17th, which is insignificant. The trade war is over. BRICS outplayed you economically, and you can’t rely on your military to cheat any longer. It’s over.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stock-indexes-gained-amid-us-china-talks-and-mega-cap-stocks-doing-most-lifting-alphabet , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bid-wake-uschina-trade-talks-while-dollar-lags-newsquawk-us-market-wrap , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_largest_trading_partners_of_China , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-successfully-corralling-countries-join-trade-war-against-china

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Natural Gas
o 3. Communications Technology
o 4. Agriculture Commodities
o 5. WTI Crude Oil
o 6. Gold
o 7. Information Technology

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Bitcoin
o 2. Consumer Staples
o 3. Healthcare
o 4. Materials
o 5. The US Dollar
o 6. Energy
o 7. Financial

- Surprised to see Bitcoin leading the losers today. I guess the narrative of the strategic bitcoin reserve didn’t stick. The issue is that when you have a bubble built on hype, without a new narrative to price prices higher, there is a race to be the first to sell. I don’t think Bitcoin will crash at this time. It’ll crash when everything else does.

- Nothing is happening in geopolitics. The US is still fucking with Venezuela, and the Houthis are bombing Israel’s airport again, but nothing that matters is happening.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/be-warned-we-are-hunting-you-trump-unleashes-second-attack-narcoterrorists-near , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/watch-drone-erupts-over-israels-southern-airport-now-under-repeat-attack

- The bottom line is that everything is proceeding as I’ve foreseen. The rate cut will be announced tomorrow, and maybe the markets edge up a bit, but then what? What is the narrative that’s going to keep the markets propped up going forward after the rate cut when nothing happens? People are tapped out and suffering due to the rising cost of living. They’re not sitting on piles of cash waiting for a 0.5% rate cut so they can buy Bitcoin. What’s the plan? Oh, it’s to change SEC reporting requirements so that companies only report their shitty earning twice a year instead of four times a year. That way, the recession can’t be confirmed for an additional 6 months. Trump is running of fumes at this point, but I’m just annoyed at it all.
source: https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1967574745018417388

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 15th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Not much to talk about that I didn’t already cover on the show, but Morgan Stanley is admitting that even with the rate cuts, homes will become less affordable. We’re in recession, but the government won’t admit it until Israel finishes off its genocide and annexation of the Middle East.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-why-rate-cuts-will-not-fix-record-housing-unaffordability-problem

- Now that rate cuts are locked in, what’s the new narrative to keep crypto propped up? Remember that crypto earns nothing unless it constantly goes up. The new narrative is that the government will totally create a “strategic bitcoin reserve” even though Bessent explicitly denied that earlier and said the US is focusing on dollar-backed stable coins, but don’t pay attention to reality, just keep believing and float from one narrative to the next.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/strong-chance-us-will-form-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-year-alex-thorn , https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-tanks-below-119k-bessent-gov-t-won-t-buy-bitcoin-reserve , https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/1967383665811542038

- Bitcoin was down through Sunday, so normies might be skittish about the shitty economy despite rate cuts, at least early in the week. Again, using Bitcoin weekend activity as a proxy for normie sentiment is imperfect at best, but it’s something.

- In geopolitics, Qatar and Saudi Arabia are still pretending that they’re going to stand up to Israel, which is the most nothing burger of nothing burgers that ever nothing burgered.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/qatar-pressures-arab-allies-close-embassies-israel-gloves-are

- Russia is continuing its offensive despite the rainy season beginning. They just took another village today. If the plan for all these negotiations that went nowhere was to stall Russia so that their offensive would halt for the remainder of 2025, it didn’t work.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/kremlin-confirms-ukraine-talks-pause-zelensky-rules-out-giving-east , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-warns-his-patience-putin-running-out-fast , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-gains-another-village-central-oblast-negotiations-effectively-dead

- In China, scientists are claiming to have built an AI model that’s 100X faster than ChatGPT using Chinese chips. This is how China is going to bring down the Regime economically and end the wars against BRICS globally, all without firing a single bullet. Sun Tzu would be proud.
source: https://www.windowscentral.com/artificial-intelligence/chinese-scientists-claim-to-have-built-the-first-brain-like-ai-model , https://www.reuters.com/world/china/alibaba-baidu-begin-using-own-chips-train-ai-models-information-reports-2025-09-11/

- So the bottom line is that nothing is happening. The rumors about the Charlie Kirk shooter being gay and having a tranny trap friend were confirmed by the FBI, so I was right, it wasn’t Mossad, and it should have been obvious because Israel is getting everything it wants. Nothing Kirk knew or said threatened any of that, so Israel had no reason to kill him. I’m not defending Israel, but sometimes a cigar is just a cigar.
source: https://www.foxnews.com/us/charlie-kirk-assassins-transgender-roommate-hates-conservatives-christians-relative-says , https://www.thetimes.com/us/news-today/article/charlie-kirk-suspect-tyler-robinson-roommate-trans-relationship-65wvslwr8 , https://x.com/LegitTargets/status/1967171935877632141

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 12th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- CPI came in along expectations at 2.9%, which means we’ll likely get a 0.25% rate cut rather than a 0.5%rate cut. Rates are definitely getting cut due to the surging jobless claims and shitty labor market, though.
source: https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1966117265964978317 , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-gained-jump-jobless-claims-further-boosted-rate-cut-bets-newsquawk-asia-pac , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/record-prices-and-near-term-risks-warrant-least-some-hedging , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-stocks-gained-jump-jobless-claims-further-boosted-rate-cut-bets-newsquawk-asia-pac

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Materials
o 2. Consumer Discretionary
o 3. Real Estate
o 4. Healthcare
o 5. Financials
o 6. Bonds
o 7. Industrials

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. WTI Crude Oil
o 3. Brent Crude Oil
o 4. The US Dollar
o 5. Broad Commodities
o 6. Gold
o 7. Energy

- Inflation is still going up, and the FED is going to cut rates anyway, and nobody is panicking because everything is going according to plan.

- Nothing is happening geopolitically. Trump is pretending that he’s mad at Israel for trying to assassinate Hamas negotiators in Qatar, but everyone knows that the US actively participated in the strike and permitted it to happen. Also, the US has formally given its blessing to the annexation of the West Bank despite the West Bank having nothing to do with Hamas whatsoever. They have no hostages and did nothing, and Israel is annexing their land anyway with the US’s blessing. Nobody should be surprised by any of this, but now they’ve formally admitted it, so it’s official now.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/amb-huckabee-clarifies-us-wont-oppose-west-bank-annexation , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/amb-huckabee-clarifies-us-wont-oppose-west-bank-annexation

- France is rioting again in the aftermath of its government's collapse, but I expect nothing to change. Eventually, order will be restored and another Israel cock-sucking anti-white Globalist will be the new leader and establish a new government, and nothing will have changed.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/france-flames-block-everything-protest-movement-sweeps-country

- In Nepal, the military has taken over the capital after Zoomers overthrew the government and burned the government buildings down as the politicians fled in helicopters.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/nepal-army-takes-over-capital-politicians-flee-helicopter-mayhem-worsens

- In Brazil, Bolsonaro was sentenced to 27 years for thinking about launching a coup, but then cucking out like a bitch. The US is threatening Brazil and calling the trial a witch hunt, but only because it’s a BRICS member.
source: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/11/world/americas/bolsonaro-convicted-coup-attempt.html , https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/12/us-warns-of-response-to-witch-hunt-after-brazils-bolsonaro-sentenced-to-27-years.html

- So the bottom line is that while the markets are going as expected, watching countries break into rioting and revolution is at least more entertaining than nothing. Bolsonaro’s conviction is a good thing because people need to stop cucking. When you go, go all the way. Don’t organize your followers and then cuck out and leave them to be arrested while you flee to Florida. I don’t expect much to change from these riots and revolutions, but we’ll see.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 11, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- CPI inflation will be published tomorrow, but based on the PPI being cooked earlier, I expect CPI to come in low. Nevertheless, based on the CPI, we’ll either get a 0.25% cut or a 0.5% cut, but they will only exacerbate stagflation, even if the government lies about it for as long as possible.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/complete-cpi-preview-and-how-goldman-trading-last-big-event-fed

- Here is a video from Maverick of Wall Street, which did an excellent job of detailing how we’re in a recession and that lowering rates will make the economy worse (i.e., stagflation). Of course, it benefits the investor class to keep the bubble going, and it buys time for Israel, which is the only priority at this point.
source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2RvXpCho-zs

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Bitcoin
o 2. The VIX
o 3. Brent Crude Oil
o 4. WTI Crude Oil
o 5. Energy
o 6. Crypto
o 7. Utilities

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Consumer Discretionary
o 3. Consumer Staples
o 4. Healthcare
o 5. Communications Technology
o 6. Financials
o 7. Real Estate

- Stagflation is in the air, and apparently, investors still believe Bitcoin will be a haven during stagflation. Fucking morons.

- Nothing much is happening geopolitically that we didn’t already talk about during the show.

- The bottom line is that I fully expect CPI to be manipulated lower to justify rate cuts and for those rate cuts to make the economy worse, but to breathe more life into the stock bubble. We’ll be dealing with this shit for the next 6 months, so strap in. Israel may attack Iran again, but they’d be really stupid to do so, so they’ll probably do it. We’re locked into the stagflation, hyperinflation, and civil war ending, so might as well make it entertaining.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 9th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- With the rate cut a sure thing due to the shitty jobs data from Friday, the narrative is that the government is going to “wipe out the debt” by causing hyperinflation through stablecoins. Nobody is openly talking about the hyperinflation part, or how using crypto doesn’t change the fundamental mechanism of debt monetization. Like I said, the process will go Stagflationary depression, then hyperinflation, then civil war in that order. Weimar problems require Weimar solutions. Prepare accordingly.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/could-trump-end-triggering-globalist-great-reset , https://finance.yahoo.com/news/putin-advisor-accuses-us-using-214522644.html

- Gold hit a new record high, and new inflation data is due to come out this week. Will we see the PPI from last month confirmed this month, or will the government manipulate the data again?
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/market-recaps/gold-surges-new-record-high-big-tech-bitcoin-pumpndump , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bonds-bid-and-dollar-hit-ahead-more-jobs-and-inflation-data-newsquawk-us-market-wrap , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bonds-bid-and-dollar-hit-ahead-more-jobs-and-inflation-data-newsquawk-us-market-wrap

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Bonds
o 2. Crypto
o 3. Natural Gas
o 4. Gold
o 5. Information Technology
o 6. Broad Commodities
o 7. Brent Crude Oil

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. Utilities
o 2. Real Estate
o 3. The VIX
o 4. The US Dollar
o 5. Energy
o 6. Consumer Staples
o 7. Healthcare

- Notice that the markets are pricing in inflation, but not a recession. They’re betting on a LOT more than a simple rate cut, but bailouts.
- In geopolitics, the Houthis and Israel are bombing each other, and a drone hit Greta Thunberg’s boat bringing food to Gaza. I wonder if the Israelis will blame the Houthis for it.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/watch-idf-helicopters-chase-yemeni-drone-several-minutes-airport-under-threat , https://nypost.com/2025/09/08/world-news/drone-strikes-greta-thunberg-led-gaza-flotilla-in-tunisian-port-organizers-say/

- Nothing else is happening. The war with Venezuela hasn’t started yet, and will likely only happen once Israel has finalized their annexation of Palestine, but once that’s done, the Regime has to wave its dick around and pick a fight with a country that isn’t currently a BRICS member but could be in the future to prove they still got it.
source: https://nypost.com/2025/09/08/world-news/drone-strikes-greta-thunberg-led-gaza-flotilla-in-tunisian-port-organizers-say/

- Everything else is going according to plan. The government of France just collapsed after a no-confidence vote, so expect riots and such in France as elections are organized. This doesn’t matter. I don’t see anything in France substantially changing regardless of the outcome. They’ll fire the “eat shit” party and hire the “drink piss” party, but nothing will change. The replacement immigration will continue. The Israeli dick sucking will continue. There is no politician out there offering any alternative at this time. Maybe the hyperinflation will change that, but it’s too soon now.
source: https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/08/europe/french-prime-minister-confidence-vote-latam-intl

- The bottom line is that, as expected, everything is proceeding as expected with no surprises. All the conflicts on the table are either effectively over or don’t matter. You’d think I’d be shocked about the government causing hyperinflation to wipe away the debt, but I called this years ago. It’s not that I’m psychic, it’s just that it’s literally the only way the government CAN solve the debt problem. Things are getting worse, but that’s a good thing. Things have to get worse.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 8th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- The labor numbers came out on Friday, and they were dogshit, so the rate cut is a lock, and the markets are betting on higher gold, more money printing, and “yield curve control”, which is fancy talk for the government monetizing the debt.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/1970s-nixon-rerun-why-hartnett-betting-it-all-gold-crypto-and-yield-curve-control , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/why-morgan-stanley-thinks-dollar-bear-market-isnt-over

- They’re blaming the AI bubble and massive valuations of these AI companies that make no logical sense on the US government blowing up these companies to “win the AI war” against China. This is a cope because the US was using sanctions to sabotage China’s AI efforts by preventing them from getting semiconductors, and the AI companies were already being blown up. They're trying to shift the blame for the rigged market onto China and pretend they weren’t manipulating the numbers for selfish political reasons and were actually trying to win the AI war against China. Absolutely pathetic.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/markets-have-figured-out-sovereign-balance-sheets-will-be-leveraged-max-win-ai-war

- Let’s look at how Bitcoin performed on Sunday to give us a proxy for whether the normies are bullish or bearish. Bitcoin was mostly flat, but slightly positive on Sunday, so I predict the markets will be mostly flat but slightly positive on Monday. This is just a hunch based on one data point, though.

- In geopolitics, Russia is directly attacking government buildings I Kiev now. If the US and Israel can do “decapitation strikes” against heads of state, why can’t Russia? Speaking of Israel, Trump is supposedly in negotiations to end the conflict in Gaza, which is a lie and means nothing. Trump is still stalling for Israel and nothing besides.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-strikes-ukraine-government-complex-near-zelenskys-office-wars-biggest-air , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-very-deep-negotiations-hamas-end-gaza-conflict-trump-says , https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/watch-israel-systematically-flattens-high-rise-buildings-gaza-city

- So the bottom line is that I’m not expecting any surprises next week. The rate cuts will happen, but change nothing. I’m paying attention to escalation in the Middle East and against Venezuela, but ultimately, neither of those conflicts changes anything either. We’re buying Israel more time to finish off the Palestinians, and little else.

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 5th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- Tomorrow the jobs numbers come out and will determine is there is a rate cut in September or not. Job openings were published today and were the worst since 2021, but it doesn’t matter what the facts are, only what the government admits. If the government cooks the books because Trump’s ego won’t allow him to admit the economy is in recession, the market will continue to limp along. Whether there is a rate or not, little fundamentally changes. We’re heading into a stagflationary depression regardless.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/what-job-numbers-friday-will-it-take-fed-cut-50bps , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/are-sp-futures-set-big-seasonal-short , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/favorable-market-winds-summer-are-now-shifting-goldmans-hedge-fund-honcho-sees-worsening , https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/downside-hedges-are-especially-prudent-citadel-flows-guru-sees-september-shift-after-summer

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Consumer Discretionary
o 2. Industrials
o 3. Bonds
o 4. Financials
o 5. S&P 500 Index
o 6. Real Estate
o 7. Communications Technology

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. The VIX
o 2. Bitcoin
o 3. Crypto
o 4. Brent Crude Oil
o 5. Agriculture Commodities
o 6. WTI Crude Oil
o 7. Broad Commodities

- The markets were mostly flat today, but tomorrow, something will happen when the jobs numbers are published. The labor numbers SHOULD be bad, but with the government rigging everything, who knows?

- Nothing is happening geopolitically. I’m watching the situation in the Middle East, and some are warning that Israel is going to attack Iran again, but that would be REEEEAAAALLLLY stupid, as it would go much worse for them compared to last time, and the US doesn’t have the missiles to spare, especially if they’re going to go to war with Venezuela for absolutely no reason.

- So the bottom line is that nothing is happening, and even the things that may happen don’t matter. We’re just slowly watching the economy descend into a stagflationary depression while the Regime stalls for Israel’s sake and loses wars. Maybe they’ll successfully pull off a “regime change” operation in Venezuela, but it won’t matter even if they do. It don’t matter. None of this matters. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qX-YfuVQmX8

Monkey’s Market Minute: September 4th, 2025

Disclaimer: Never take investment advice from strangers on the internet, especially monkeys. Learn how to manage your own money or seek out a professional who can give you personalized financial services. This newsletter is just my thoughts and opinions, and if you copy me and lose the money, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

- We’re keeping it simple today. Jobs numbers come out this Friday. If they’re bad, that’s supposedly bullish for a rate cut. If the jobs numbers are good, then that’s potentially bearish because it means no rate cut. Will Trump continue to cover up the recession due to his ego? We’ll see.
source: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/what-job-numbers-friday-will-it-take-fed-cut-50bps

- The winners in the market today were:
o 1. Natural Gas
o 2. Communications Technology
o 3. Bonds
o 4. Bitcoin
o 5. Gold
o 6. S&P 500 Index
o 7. Information Technology

- The losers in the market today were:
o 1. WTI Crude Oil
o 2. Brent Crude Oil
o 3. Energy
o 4. Materials
o 5. Crypto
o 6. Industrials
o 7. Broad Commodities

- The markets today indicate renewed optimism for a rate cut, so they’re expecting a bad jobs report to deliver the rate cut, but all the selling earlier this week indicates the rate cut was already cancelled. We’ll see.

- In geopolitics, the SCO meeting is over, and nothing major was announced that changes anything. Everything is continuing as expected.

- The bottom line is that aside from the jobs numbers coming on Friday, which will confirm the rate cut or not, nothing is happening. The rate cut itself doesn’t really matter because we’re already in recession, but the government won’t admit it for at least another 6 months, but everything is done, and we’re just watching things play out slowly… so slowly.